Farm Debt Signals Show Pressure on Operating Loans

Operating debt remains manageable in many areas, but rising non-accrual loans show why careful cash-flow management matters in 2026.

frozen funds usda money farm programs_Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock.jpg

Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock

Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Farm operating debt remains mostly stable across the South, but late-loan categories are showing pressure after a difficult year for row-crop margins. Charley Martinez with the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture says non-real estate farm loans were 4 percent higher in the fourth quarter of 2025 than a year earlier.

The biggest concern is loan quality. Martinez says non-accrual loans stayed elevated from the previous quarter and were 172 percent higher than in the fourth quarter of 2024. Loans 90 days or more past due were nearly unchanged from a year earlier.

Loans 30 to 89 days late fell from their first-quarter peak, but Martinez says some of that debt likely moved into the non-accrual category by year-end. That category still remained 35 percent higher than fourth-quarter 2024.

State pressure varied. Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Arkansas were above the regional average for total late debt as a share of total loan volume.

Higher crop prices and future ARC and PLC payments may help, but input costs, interest rates, and tight margins keep working capital important.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Operating debt remains manageable in many areas, but rising non-accrual loans show why careful cash-flow management matters in 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
This simple but powerful tool from Nutrien enables farmers to keep track of highly personalized input costs and expenses involved in running their operation.
Protein markets are fragmenting. Beef is supply-driven and more structurally expensive, whereas pork and poultry remain price-competitive.
Reducing mental stress and focusing on controllable actions can improve decision-making in high-pressure environments, according to Hollywood actor and former Calif Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Early Cattle-on-Feed estimates point to slightly tighter cattle supplies, reinforcing the need to monitor prices and timing for winter marketing.
Removing the 40% duty sharply lowers U.S. beef import costs on beef, coffee, fertilizer and fruit, and restores Brazil’s competitiveness during a period of tight domestic supply.
Row crop losses in 2025 are outpacing last year. With no disaster aid yet approved, many operations face a tough financial bridge to 2026 even as Farm Bill improvements remain a year away.
Experts say farmers and ethanol producers would benefit from a risk-based ILUC system that protects forests without relying on speculative modeling.
Farmland values remain stable, but weakened credit conditions and lower expected farm income signal tighter financial margins heading into 2026.
Ethanol exports are expanding on strong demand from Canada and Europe, while DDGS shipments remain broad-based and supportive for feed markets.