Farmland Values Hold Despite Weakening Farm Finances

Strong land values continue masking tighter farm finances.

0G4A9553.jpg

Photo by Marji Guyler-Alaniz/FarmHER, Inc.

KANSAS CITY, MO (RFD NEWS)Farmland values across the Midwest and Plains held steady in 2025 even as farm income, credit conditions, and repayment trends softened through the year, according to Federal Reserve agricultural credit surveys.

Francisco Scott and Ty Kreitman report cropland values were unchanged or slightly higher across participating Federal Reserve Districts, supported by resilient land demand and ad hoc government assistance despite tightening farm finances. Financial stress remained limited overall through late 2025.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong land values continue masking tighter farm finances.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

Farm income weakened gradually in the fourth quarter, though declines slowed in some regions. Credit conditions also softened but at a slower pace, with fewer lenders reporting year-over-year deterioration in repayment rates across several Districts. Farm loan interest rates declined modestly from 2023 peaks to about 7.5 percent on average — still above long-term norms.

Regional farmland trends varied. Nonirrigated cropland values rose by more than 5 percent in northern Indiana, Kansas, and Texas but fell by about 4 percent in South Dakota, highlighting localized supply, income, and weather dynamics.

Related Stories
Smaller cow numbers and a declining calf crop point to prolonged tight cattle supplies, limiting near-term herd rebuilding potential.
The federal government’s status is far from the only factor moving the markets on Friday. Two critical reports released today on producer inflation and the status of the U.S. cattle herd are also top of mind.
Record milk output looks strong today, but shrinking replacement numbers mean future supply adjustments could be faster and more volatile.
Often overlooked, cotton wholesalers act as stabilizers during market stress, translating fragmented retail demand into workable production programs for mills and manufacturers.
Strong blending demand continues to support ethanol use even as production and exports fluctuate.
Early indications suggest the U.S. cattle industry may be nearing the end of its liquidation phase. Oklahoma State University livestock economist Dr. Derrell Peel says the industry could be at or near the cyclical low.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum highlights modest price support from tighter supplies across cotton, grains, dairy, livestock, and sugar into 2026.
Farm Bureau Economist Faith Parum discusses the latest Farm Bill proposal and the path ahead for Congress and U.S. agriculture.
President Donald Trump signed an executive order this week to accelerate domestic production of phosphorus and glyphosate, signaling that farm input availability is now treated as a national security risk.
The global rice surplus outweighs tighter U.S. supplies, pressuring prices.
A weaker dollar supports export demand and may strengthen crop prices.
Smaller supplies could support cotton prices despite weak demand.