NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Fuel costs — and farm input expenses — may ease over the next two years as global oil supplies continue to outpace demand. The U.S. Energy Information Administration expects Brent crude to average about $58 per barrel in 2026 and $53 in 2027, down from roughly $69 in 2025 as inventories steadily grow.
The agency says petroleum production is expanding faster than consumption worldwide. Higher output targets from OPEC+ and rising production in Brazil, Guyana, and Argentina are adding barrels to the market while demand growth slows. At the same time, China is stockpiling crude oil, absorbing some supply but still contributing to rising global inventories.
Stocks are building in both harder-to-track non-OECD locations and traditional commercial storage across developed economies. As storage fills, the higher cost of holding excess crude typically pressures prices lower and slows future production growth.
For agriculture, the outlook indicates moderating diesel and fertilizer energy costs, but weaker ethanol margins if gasoline demand remains soft.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Lower oil prices may trim input costs but pressure biofuel demand.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Strong White House backing supports ethanol demand, but timing now hinges on Congress resolving procedural — at the same time as they push toward a spending bill to avert another federal government shutdown.
January 28, 2026 11:35 AM
·
Mixed product pricing and rising milk supplies suggest margin management will remain critical as 2026 unfolds.
January 28, 2026 06:00 AM
·
Lewis Williamson of HTS Commodities joined us with an update on the historic winter storm impacts and his outlook on today’s ag markets.
January 27, 2026 02:39 PM
·
New rule speeds leasing and permitting for federal oil and gas development
January 27, 2026 11:17 AM
Mike Knotts with the Tennessee Electric Cooperative Association joined us with the latest on storm impacts, power restoration, and safety considerations following the ice storm.
January 26, 2026 04:00 PM
·
Year-round E15 remains on the table, but procedural caution and competing regional interests pushed action into a slower, negotiated path.
January 26, 2026 01:33 PM
·
