Grain Transportation Mixed As Rail Slows, Barges Surge

Logistics capacity remains available, but winter volatility favors flexible delivery and marketing plans. NGFA President Mike Seyfert provides insight into grain transportation trends, trade policy, and priorities for the year ahead.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. grain transportation showed sharply mixed signals heading into early January, with rail volumes retreating while barge movement rebounded strongly after late-December weakness. The pattern reflects seasonal volatility rather than a breakdown in logistics capacity, according to the latest USDA Grain Transportation Report (PDF Version).

U.S. Class I railroads originated 24,757 grain carloads during the week ending December 27, down 14 percent from the previous week. Despite the decline, rail volumes remained 7 percent above last year and 16 percent above the three-year average, signaling underlying demand for rail service remains intact. Secondary shuttle railcar premiums dropped sharply to $526 per car above tariff, easing more than $300 week over week, while non-shuttle premiums fell to $19 above tariff — a sign of improving near-term rail availability.

Barge traffic moved in the opposite direction. Grain movements totaled 757,876 tons for the week ending January 3, up 87 percent from the prior week and 8 percent above last year. More barges moved downriver, and unloadings in the New Orleans region surged, reflecting renewed export flow.

Ocean shipping remained softer, though freight rates to Japan declined, offering some cost relief.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Logistics capacity remains available, but winter volatility favors flexible delivery and marketing plans.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Grain transportation networks are sending mixed signals as the new year begins, with rail and barge traffic moving in opposite directions. Rail carloads fell 14 percent in late December, while barge grain movement surged, up 87 percent last week and running eight percent ahead of the same time last year.

At the same time, the upcoming review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is drawing increased attention from farm groups, particularly those involved in the grain and oilseed supply chain.

Mike Seyfert, president of the National Grain and Feed Association (NGFA), joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report to discuss the importance of the agreement and current industry issues.

In his interview with RFD-TV News, Seyfert explained the impact of the U.S.-M-C-A on the grain and feed sector and why access to cross-border trade markets is critical for the industry. He also shared his perspective on whether the renewal process presents an opportunity to strengthen grain trade between the three countries.

Seyfert also weighed in on the recent reintroduction of the HAULS Act, which Senator Deb Fischer discussed on the program last week, and outlined how the legislation could benefit agriculture and the broader supply chain. Looking ahead, he discussed other top issues facing the grain industry as the year progresses, and previewed NGFA’s annual convention, which will be held in Nashville in March 2026, and highlighted what attendees can expect at the event.

Related Stories
Former Market Day Report anchor Janet Adkison was inducted into the National Association of Farm Broadcasting Hall of Fame, recognizing over 20 years of service sharing stories that impact Rural America.
Jake Charleston, with Specialty Risk Insurance, joins us now for an industry update and advice for cattle producers as they consider options for managing the risks of a murky market.
The National Milk Producers Federation will launch a new advocacy campaign to secure a final vote, urging House lawmakers to approve the bill as soon as they return from the Thanksgiving recess.
AFBF Vice President of Public Policy and Economic Analysis, Dr. John Newton, explains the factors contributing to the growing financial strain in the ag sector and the urgent need for swift economic support.
Tyson’s Nebraska plant closure and falling Cattle on Feed numbers send cattle markets tumbling. Analysts warn of tighter supplies, weak margins, and rising global competition.
Farmers with unpaid Hansen-Mueller grain should verify delivery records immediately and file indemnity claims quickly, as coverage rules differ sharply by state.
Shaun Haney, host of RealAg Radio, provides the latest insight into the timing, expectations, and broader considerations of the potential aid package, despite increasing exports to China.
Farm legal expert Roger McEowen reviews the history of the Waters of the United States (WOTUS) rule and outlines how shifting definitions across multiple administrations have created regulatory confusion for landowners.
Higher rail tariffs and tighter Canadian supplies will keep oat transportation costs firm into 2026.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Higher yields are cushioning lower acreage, but reduced production could support firmer potato prices into 2026.
Producers across the country balanced winter weather disruptions, shifting export demand, and tightening margins as year-end decisions come into focus.
Reviewing risk management now can help dairy and livestock producers enter 2026 with clearer margins and fewer surprises.
Canada’s new voluntary Grocery Sector Code of Conduct will take effect on Jan. 1, a goodwill effort to promote fairness and transparency between retailers and support farms that sell directly to stores.
With record grain harvests and rising global ethanol demand, leaders across the ag and energy sectors are pushing for year-round E15 sales to mitigate the strain on grain trade.
Stronger rail movement and lower fuel prices are easing logistics, even as export pace and river conditions remain uneven.
Agriculture Shows
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.
The goal of “Where the Food Comes From” is as simple as its name implies — host Chip Carter takes you along on the journey of where our food comes from — and we don’t just mean to the supermarket (though that’s part of the big picture!). But beyond where it comes from, how it gets there, and all the links in the chain that make that happen.
Join markets specialist Scott Shellady, better known as the Cow Guy, as he covers the market-close, breaking down headlines that drive the commodities and equities markets with commentary from respected industry heavyweights.