Growing Trouble: Farm income drops as debt and machinery prices escalate

Farmers are struggling with low commodity prices and skyrocketing input costs, resulting in debt that is outpacing income across the sector, according to the USDA’s new farm income forecast.

A new farm income forecast from the Economic Research Service (ERS) is out this week, showing a several billion dollar decline from estimates earlier this year. But in a call with farm reporters, U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) said it’s still too early to tell if farmers will need a bailout.

Farm-Income-Forecast-Sept-2025.png

Farm sector profits forecast to grow in 2025

USDA, Economic Research Service, Farm Income and Wealth Statistics, Data as of Sept. 3, 2025

The income forecast indicates the amount of cash farmers and ranchers have available this year, which is less than the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) estimated in February.

Also, a large number of borrowers are reporting trouble at the farm. New federal numbers show more banks are realizing some loans likely won’t be paid back.

Machinery Costs Break the Bank

Machinery costs are just one input cost that has increased over the last couple of years. Several universities have researchers looking into it, and they’ve found a 10% jump for some models.

Related Stories
So, what’s the path forward for “The One, Big, Beautiful Bill” tax legislation? That’s the topic of today’s Firm to Farm blog post by RFD-TV legal and tax expert Roger McEowen with Kansas’ Washburn School of Law.
Today’s Firm to Farm blog post by RFD-TV legal and tax expert Roger McEowen provides a brief summary of the “One, Big, Beautiful Bill.” If passed in its current form, the legislation would represent the largest tax cuts in history.
“I’m optimistic that this agency, this administration again, made WOTUS a real priority.”
When a person is enrolled in Medicare, HSAs and HCSMs can be impacted. It’s important to understand how the interactions work.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

President Trump has long supported a direct line from Alberta’s oil fields to the Midwest.
Culver’s Quality Manager Jim Krombach explains why it is vital for brands to invest in the next generation of agriculture through organizations like FFA.
Tidal Grow Agri-Science joins us to celebrate Global Fertilizer Day, sharing how innovation continues to drive American agriculture forward.
The American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) is urging Congress and the Trump Administration to act quickly on behalf of American agriculture.
Better yield measurement means fairer grids, more precise breeding targets, and more dollars for truly efficient cattle.
The news immediately caused a drop in equities and commodities, with soybeans down 20 percent in a matter of minutes.