The U.S. dairy industry is growing, providing ample opportunity for producers. The $76 billion category is larger than any other, including alcohol.
However, CoBank economist Corey Geiger warns that the growth does not come without some challenges.
“Sixteen to 17% of our dairy products go to export in the United States,” Geiger explains. “So with the word ‘tariff’ coming about...you know, issues in that area, we might see a little bit of slowed sales. The upward trajectory in the dairy industry is strong, and actually, in 2024, milk beverage sales, fluid milk, were actually stable. So, if we can stabilize that category and see great growth in cheese, butter, and whey proteins—it’s a bright future.”
While those tariff concerns have been held off for a month, the market is still facing unprecedented volatility.
“We were looking at a little more supportive to that market just a couple of weeks ago, but the unprecedented volatility in the cheese market and demand being about a half a percent slower, and then the perception on what tariffs could do really kind of knocked the support out under that market,” notes JSA Dairy Division Lead Robin Schmahl. “And so, we might be looking at something a little bit less as far as an average price than what we were looking at maybe about three weeks ago.”
The USDA’s latest milk production estimates show that in December, milk in the 24 major producing states totaled 18 billion pounds.
Cottage cheese sales are on the rise across the U.S., and industry leaders believe interest on social media is contributing to the surge in consumer demand.
October 14, 2025 04:16 PM
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New U.S. fees on Chinese-owned and built ships took effect overnight, marking the latest escalation in maritime trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.
October 14, 2025 11:33 AM
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President Trump is expected to press Argentina to take a tougher stance on China in exchange for political and economic support.
October 14, 2025 11:12 AM
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Treat storage as risk management and logistics, and budget to break even since export growth is unlikely to absorb bigger U.S. corn and soybean crops.
October 13, 2025 04:34 PM
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Tammi Arender takes us to 3 Board Farm to meet some first-generation farmers who took a leap of faith and, in the process, found a new purpose.
October 13, 2025 02:11 PM
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“Good flies? Is that like a good fire ant?” Miller said. “I don’t know what a good fly is. I don’t know if they’re afraid to kill house flies or stable flies, but I’m ready to kill the screwworm fly.”
October 13, 2025 01:28 PM
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The American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) is urging Congress and the Trump Administration to act quickly on behalf of American agriculture.
October 13, 2025 11:42 AM
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Escalating U.S.–China tensions threaten soybean demand as farm finances are stretched further.
October 13, 2025 10:40 AM
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Expect a steady corn grind and selective basis strength where exports and local blending stay active.
October 09, 2025 05:10 PM
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