Land Value Expectations Reflect Different Producer Mood Levels in March Ag Economy Barometer

Farmland outlook is tracking closely with producer confidence, investment appetite, and financial expectations.

FarmlandRiver_AdobeStock_223753603_1920x1080.jpg

Adobe Stock

WEST LAFAYETTE, INDIANA (RFD NEWS) — Producers who expect farmland values to rise are also showing a much stronger outlook on current conditions and farm finances. Purdue University’s March 2026 Ag Economy Barometer analysis said land value expectations are lining up closely with broader differences in producer confidence.

The March barometer index stood at 127. About 35 percent of respondents expected land values to be higher a year from now, while roughly 10 percent expected values to be lower. Those expecting higher land values were generally more optimistic across the survey.

That gap was clear in investment and income expectations. Producers expecting lower land values posted a Farm Capital Investment Index of 34 and a Financial Performance Index of 93. Those expecting higher land values posted readings of 72 and 111.

High input costs were the biggest concern for both groups, but they carried more weight for producers expecting weaker land values. Livestock producers also made up a much larger share of the group, expecting land prices to rise.

The report said producers expecting lower land values pointed to net farm income as the biggest influence, while those expecting higher values were more likely to cite alternative investments.

The upcoming Ag Economy Barometer for April will be released next Tuesday, May 5.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Farmland outlook is tracking closely with producer confidence, investment appetite, and financial expectations.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Related Stories
Event brings livestock competition into downtown setting
Natalie Roy from AgriSafe Network talks about women’s role in agriculture and the increasing need to address their unique health and safety needs as they form a larger part of the workforce.
In honor of Oral Cancer Awareness Month, Dr. Jeffrey Gold shares how disparities in dental care impact rural Americans and why early detection is important.
Lewie Pugh, with the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association, discusses EPA DEF system changes and what they mean for the supply chain and fuel costs.
Rising costs and prices are shifting acreage toward soybeans. Most fertilizer prices are up double digits from this time last year, with Urea seeing the largest gains.
Hiring may ease slightly, but labor shortages remain persistent.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Policy clarity will determine the trajectory of soybean crush demand, but producers in Kansas have shown that expanding local crush capacity strengthens basis and marketing options.
Corn and soybean shipments continue to move at a steady pace as spring trade flows develop.
Growing milk supply may pressure prices ahead.
Bigger flocks are rebuilding egg and poultry supply.
Tight supplies are driving stronger early-year cattle prices.
Tony Adkins with Specialty Risk Insurance addresses current market challenges for farmers and ranchers and offers strategies to help producers navigate risk.