Loan Delinquencies Increase, Farmland Values Continue to Strengthen

Credit stress is building for row-crop farms despite steady land values and slight price improvements.

CHICAGO, Il. (RFD-TV) — Farm finances tightened across the Chicago Federal Reserve’s Seventh District in the third quarter, with ag bankers reporting higher loan delinquencies even as farmland values posted modest year-over-year gains. The Chicago Fed’s latest AgLetter, led by policy advisor David Oppedahl, found credit conditions weakening further while crop farms remained pressed by narrow margins and rising costs.

Corn and soybean prices improved slightly late in the quarter, offering limited relief to crop producers who continue to face competition from Brazil and elevated input expenses. Bankers noted that weaker cash earnings are expected this fall and winter for most crop farms and dairy operations.

Operationally, more renewals and extensions signal increasing stress, and nearly half of the surveyed bankers anticipate a rise in forced liquidations. Some lenders are advising producers to tighten expenses or sell assets to rebuild working capital.

Regionally, farmland values rose about 3 percent from a year ago and held steady from the previous quarter, supported by strong demand and some interest from outside investors.

Looking ahead, livestock operations — particularly cattle and hog producers — may see stronger earnings as beef demand keeps prices elevated.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Credit stress is building for row-crop farms despite steady land values and slight price improvements.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Demand for farm loans surged in the first quarter of the year, topping the previous record set in 2016.
Roger McEowen with the Washburn School of Law joins us now with the highlights.
Sen. Roger Marshall (R-KS) hosted the talks. The senator and doctor joined us on Wednesday on RFD-TV’s Market Day Report to recap the critical discussions surrounding human health in America.
Justin Wilson’s Hominy and Chili Casserole is a hearty, flavor-packed dish that combines canned ingredients for a comforting Cajun twist.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Expect a steady corn grind and selective basis strength where exports and local blending stay active.
ock NH3 early, track China’s Oct. 15 call and any U.S. Russia-UAN action, stay nimble on urea, and budget cautiously for high-priced phosphate.
Expect business-as-usual for most container exports.
Searches for “struggle meal” hit a record high in September, and #strugglemeals posts are climbing on Instagram and TikTok, reflecting a wave of budget-cooking content.
Considering raising your own replacements instead of buying bred heifers? Three key factors to consider before investing capital.
Reliable, clearly graded middle meats still anchor demand; programs that deliver consistent eating quality and simple, confidence-building menus capture more repeat visits—and more value—back through the beef chain.