Machinery Investment Trends Collide with Slowing Equipment Sales

Larger operations maintain cost advantages, while softer equipment sales suggest producers are pacing machinery upgrades amid tighter margins.

two little kids in the cab of a john deere tractor_Cristen Clark_FarmHER S1_Ep 11

FarmHER Cristen Clark (Season 1, Episode 11)

FarmHER, Inc.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD-TV) — Crop machinery investment patterns show strong economies of scale even as new equipment sales slow sharply across North America, signaling a cautious reset in farm capital spending.

Analysis from the Center for Commercial Agriculture at Purdue University shows that larger crop farms continue to invest less per acre in machinery than smaller operations, while recent data from the Association of Equipment Manufacturers indicate weakening near-term demand for tractors and combines.

Purdue research tracking 2007 through 2024 shows that farms exceeding 2,000 acres averaged about $668 per acre in machinery investment in 2024, compared with more than $800 per acre for smaller farms. Net annual machinery investment also declines with size, reflecting scale advantages that lower depreciation, interest, and machinery costs per acre over time.

At the same time, AEM reports U.S. tractor sales fell nearly 20 percent in November, while combine sales dropped more than 35 percent from a year earlier. The slowdown suggests producers are delaying major purchases as margins tighten, despite longer-term needs for efficiency and replacement.

Together, the data point to disciplined spending rather than a collapse in investment.

Related Stories
According to OPIS, the city is preparing for a projected Level 1 Water Emergency tied to a prolonged five-year drought.
Mexico’s demand for U.S. corn, soybeans, and wheat remained mostly steady during the first quarter, despite higher transportation costs.
The temporary closures come as grain traffic on the Arkansas River continues running ahead of recent years.
Shrinking Select beef supplies are continuing to reshape cattle pricing and beef demand trends.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

This case could influence how much leverage grain shippers have when a preferred rail outlet is blocked or priced too high.
U.S. Cattlemen’s Association President Justin Tupper joins us to discuss the DOJ packer investigation, industry competition, and the outlook for cattle producers.
Farm Bureau economist Dr. Faith Parum says EPA’s final biofuel volumes keep corn demand steady and strengthen the outlook for soybean-based diesel feedstocks.
Global soybean competition is moving deeper into crush capacity, logistics, and value-added product control.
CME Group’s Fred Seamon joins us to break down the drop in farmer sentiment, discuss the role of input costs and global factors, and share his outlook for the ag economy ahead.
Cotton margins improved slightly, even as fertilizer and fuel costs rose due to the Strait of Hormuz disruption linked to the Iran war.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.