Market analysts on trade with China: “It’s not going to change on a whim”

As U.S. leaders work to secure more trade deals, there is still some hope that China will return to the U.S. soybean market.

The Senior Market Analyst for Barchart, and frequent Market Day Report guest, Darin Newsom says it might not happen again in our lifetimes.

“No, the U.S. is not going to regain its foothold. There’s nothing that’s going to happen that’s going to change that again. This is long-term damage that has been done in trade relations. Long-term to China is not what the U.S. thinks, which is hours to maybe days; it’s a very short attention span. The U.S. is known for its ADHD. China, long-term, is centuries, so you know, we’re not dealing with something that’s just going to change on a whim, much like what we see happening here in the U.S. So, no, the U.S. isn’t going to immediately jump back into the game. it’s going to take a long time to rebuild any sort of demand coming from China.”

Finding a trade balance with China has been a top priority for the Administration this week. Several cabinet members just returned from London after meeting with Chinese officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent was part of that delegation, who is testifying before the House and Ways Committee currently.

Related Stories
While a ceasefire remains in place, overnight missile attacks are raising questions about its stability.
Total red meat supplies were up 4 percent from March but down 4 percent from April 2025.
Despite tighter supplies, U.S. wheat exports continue trending higher as international buyers seek consistent quality and reliable service.
China remains critical to U.S. farm exports, but Brazil’s growing market share keeps pressure on U.S. soybean demand.
China’s pledge is supportive, but producers need confirmed sales and shipments before counting it as stronger export demand.
Grain movement remains active, but high ocean freight and diesel costs continue to pressure export logistics.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins visits Arizona cotton producers as rising fuel, fertilizer, and fuel and fertilizer costs continue to pressure farm margins.
Fred Nichols with Huma joins us to break down “just in time” fertilizer applications, a growing trend in modern nutrient management as input costs continue to pressure farmers.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney says producers should continue to watch tariff negotiations, market access, and the possibility of a more transactional trade relationship with China.
RFD News Farm Legal Expert Roger McEowen discussed red flags landowners should watch for during property transactions.
ASFMRA’s Howard Halderman says several economic and policy issues are continuing to influence the farmland market.