Midwest Farmland Values Gain While Credit Conditions Tighten

Strong land values contrast with mounting credit pressure.

SHERRY_SHAVER_19_07_31_US_NY_BEAVERKILL_TROUT_HATCHERY_0034.jpg

Beaverkill Trout Hatchery in New York (2019)

FarmHER, Inc.

CHICAGO, Ill. (RFD NEWS) — Midwest farmland values improved in 2025, but rising credit stress signals tougher financial conditions ahead for producers.

The Chicago Federal Reserve reported that Seventh District farmland values rose six percent last year, reversing a small decline in 2024. Good-quality land increased by two percent in the fourth quarter. Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa posted single-digit annual gains, while Wisconsin also moved higher.

Credit conditions weakened. The share of farm loans with major or severe repayment problems climbed to 5.6 percent in the fourth quarter — the highest since 2020. Demand for operating loans increased for the ninth straight quarter, while funds available for lending declined for the eleventh consecutive quarter. Thirty percent of banks tightened farm credit standards compared to a year ago.

Interest rates edged lower late in the year, but bankers expect lower capital spending in 2026. Non-real estate loan volumes are projected to rise, while real estate lending is expected to soften.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong land values contrast with mounting credit pressure.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
The proposed USDA rule would replace negative pay adjustments with a guaranteed minimum base rate for poultry growers.
Reduced slaughter numbers and stronger export demand are helping push livestock by-product values higher.
LSU economist Dr. Michael Deliberto says fewer planted acres could tighten supplies and support prices for producers.
Pre-filled Applications Available Online to Producers with a Login.gov Account

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Year-to-date red meat production is down 2 percent, with beef lower and pork higher.
For producers, demand is strong, but drought, disease, and costs still shape supply.
Butter has softened as milkfat supplies remain ample.
Drought and Planting Shape Weekly Crop Condition Recap
Drought remains a major risk, with the ERS reporting that 98 percent of the U.S. cotton production area was affected by drought in early May.
Higher placements lifted feedlot inventories, but slower marketings point to continued tightness in finished cattle movement.