Midwest Farmland Values Stall As Farm Credit Weakens

Flat farmland values and rising repayment problems point to growing financial pressure across the Midwest farm economy.

CHICAGO, Ill. (RFD News) — Midwest farmland values were unchanged from a year earlier during the second quarter, while agricultural credit conditions weakened. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago lenders reported flat values for good farmland, the slowest year-over-year growth since late 2024.

After adjusting for inflation, farmland values fell 3.7%, the largest real decline since 2016. Illinois and Iowa values increased, while Indiana and Wisconsin declined. Datacenter, solar, and wind development helped support some land markets.

Farm repayment problems also increased. Loans with major or severe repayment problems accounted for 3.7% of agricultural portfolios, the highest level since 2020, while renewals and extensions remained elevated.

Average operating loan rates were 7.12%, feeder cattle loans 7.14%, and farm real estate loans 6.79%. Lenders also reported greater collateral requirements and more operating and mortgage lending than normal.

Looking ahead, most bankers expect farmland values to remain stable, but 14% anticipate declines. They also expect stronger demand for operating and feeder cattle credit while machinery, grain storage and real estate lending weaken.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Flat land values and weaker repayment conditions show financial pressure is building even before farmland prices decline sharply.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Consumers are showing stronger demand for meat at grocery stores as financial pressure weighs on restaurant spending.
Rising government payments are helping offset higher production costs as inflation-adjusted farm income declines.
Nothing changes immediately. This is a supplemental proposal, and EPA will accept comments for 30 days after publication in the Federal Register before developing a final rule.
The Antitrust Division says it sent letters to Kroger, Publix, Walmart, Albertsons, Aldi, Ahold Delhaize, Costco, and Amazon.
Stronger mill use is providing a boost for extra-long-staple cotton demand, though overall volumes remain limited.
Lower beef and pork inventories point to tighter supplies, while growing turkey stocks could add pressure heading into fall.