WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — Milk production increased in February as herd growth and improved yields continue to expand U.S. dairy output, adding pressure on prices but supporting export potential.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) reports U.S. milk production at 18.3 billion pounds, up 2.9 percent from a year ago. In the 24 major states, production reached 17.6 billion pounds, up 3.1 percent. Output per cow also improved, with national averages rising to 1,899 pounds per head, reflecting continued gains in productivity.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Growing milk supply may pressure prices ahead.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Operationally, herd expansion remains a key driver. The U.S. dairy herd reached 9.62 million head, up 211,000 from last year and continuing a steady upward trend. Producers are maintaining larger herds while also improving milk components and efficiency, supporting overall production growth.
Regionally, expansion remains concentrated in key dairy states, including Texas, Idaho, and South Dakota, while some traditional regions show more modest changes. Increased processing capacity in growth regions is also supporting higher output levels.
Looking ahead, rising milk supplies could put downward pressure on domestic prices, but stronger export demand and competitive pricing may help balance markets.
Analysts warn the closed U.S.-Mexico border is straining cattle supplies and packing capacity. StoneX and USDA data point to long-term industry shifts.
February 25, 2026 12:37 PM
·
USDA’s 2026 Food Price Outlook projects food prices rising 3.1%, with higher beef costs and falling egg prices shaping consumer trends.
February 25, 2026 11:46 AM
·
Alan Bjerga of the National Milk Producers Federation discusses the Dairy Margin Coverage program, recent improvements, and what producers need to know ahead of this week’s enrollment deadline.
February 24, 2026 03:01 PM
·
Higher output keeps milk supplies ample, reinforcing expectations for softer dairy prices even as feed costs remain favorable.
February 24, 2026 07:30 AM
·
RFD Farm Legal & Tax expert Roger McEowen shares guidance on the 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit, its impact on renewable energy and agriculture, and what producers should know moving forward.
February 23, 2026 02:36 PM
·
Border closures tied to the threat of New World Screwworm continue to stall Mexican fed cattle imports, tightening U.S. feeder cattle supplies over time — triggering feedlot closures that hinder herd rebuilding efforts, threaten the beef supply chain, and shrink production while consumer prices stay elevated.
February 23, 2026 01:40 PM
·
