MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA (RFD NEWS) — Economic growth across the Federal Reserve’s Ninth District continued in 2025, but agriculture remained a weak spot as lower commodity prices, high costs, and trade uncertainty weighed on farm states. That was a key takeaway from discussions at the Minneapolis Fed’s Regional Economic Conditions Conference held in early January.
While overall gross domestic product (GDP) expanded, growth was uneven and often volatile. In states such as North Dakota, South Dakota, and Montana, agriculture played a central role in shaping economic outcomes, though not always positively. Farm profitability remained under pressure from depressed prices, elevated input costs, and high land rents.
Trade policy added another layer of strain. Economists noted that shifting tariff policies and retaliatory trade actions disrupted export markets critical to farm income. The stop-and-start nature of those policies made planning and risk management more difficult for producers.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Agriculture remains a key drag on regional growth amid weak prices and policy uncertainty.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Outside the farm sector, labor markets cooled but remained relatively tight, limiting relief on wage and service costs faced by agriculture. Construction and infrastructure shortages continued to drive up energy and transportation costs, indirectly affecting farm operations.
Looking ahead, conference participants said agriculture’s performance will remain closely tied to price recovery, export stability, and input cost moderation, all of which will shape rural economic conditions in 2026.
Both Congressional Ag Committees took up the bill over the summer, but there’s no word on when the Senate could move forward; it does expire on September 30.
September 09, 2025 10:37 AM
·
September 08, 2025 02:56 PM
Lewie Pugh, with the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association, joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report with his insights on the incident and a deeper dive into the issues at hand.
September 08, 2025 12:00 PM
·
As the Trump Administration seeks out new global trade partnerships, Congress is considering more support for farmers, which comes as the Federal Reserve warns that farmers need a safety net.
September 08, 2025 11:47 AM
·
Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins will travel to Europe and Asia to seek new trade partnerships for U.S. crops after China reduced imports due to tariffs.
September 08, 2025 11:45 AM
·
The $221 million will help farmers and ranchers cover losses from Hurricane Helene that USDA programs didn’t cover. They’ll focus on infrastructure, markets, timber, and future economic losses.
September 05, 2025 05:09 PM
·
Tom Peterson with the New Mexico Cattle Growers Association says taxpayers are “unfortunate casualties” of this overlay now that the Mexican wolf population is stable under ESA guidelines.
September 05, 2025 01:21 PM
·
Co-Bank Lead Dairy Economist, Corey Geiger, joined us on Friday’s
Market Day Report for a further look at the drop in replacement heifers and the trend’s longterm impact on dairy producers and cattle prices.
September 05, 2025 12:40 PM
·
September 05, 2025 12:09 PM
·
