National Cotton Council Forecasts Acreage Downshift into 2026

Cotton acres slipping as competing crops gain ground.

cotton bud with the sunset_Photo by Kelli via AdobeStock_386673555.jpg

A cotton bud framed by a sunset.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. cotton growers plan to reduce spring plantings as competing crop prices and regional economics reshape acreage decisions.

The National Cotton Council’s annual survey shows producers intend to plant 9.0 million acres in 2026, down 3.2 percent from last year. Upland cotton accounts for 8.8 million acres, while extra-long staple cotton rises 14 percent to 161,000 acres. Based on normal abandonment and yields, the crop is projected at approximately 12.7 million bales.

Economists with the National Cotton Council say relative crop prices drove the shift. Cotton prices were roughly unchanged from last year’s survey period, but soybeans strengthened slightly while corn softened, encouraging rotations away from cotton in several regions.

Southeast growers expect cotton acreage to fall 4.9 percent, while Mid-South plantings are projected at 1.2 million acres — down 20.6 percent from last year. In contrast, Southwest acreage is expected to rise 1.6 percent, led by a 0.4 percent increase in Texas. Western upland cotton acreage is projected to decline 7.2 percent.

ELS cotton acreage, however, is forecast to increase with Arizona up 3.2 percent, California up 8.0 percent, and Texas expanding ELS plantings by 69.8 percent.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Cotton acres slipping as competing crops gain ground.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Kentucky Firefighters Jonathan and Lonny Epley and Extension Agent Leann Martin tell us about a new portable grain bin rescue tool, and its potential to enhance safety for farmers and first responders nationwide.
Brooks York with AgriSompo addresses how current market conditions and risk management are impacted by volatility in the Middle East, and considerations for farmers in the spring planting season.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Corn demand is rising thanks to ethanol expansion, yet year-round E15 remains missing from the Farm Bill—leaving farmers questioning the policy gap.
Cuban economic reforms could open up nearby export demand, but policy execution remains the key uncertainty.
Bipartisan momentum builds, but final farm policy remains unsettled.
Heavy cattle weights are cushioning beef supplies despite shrinking herd numbers.
Farm bill negotiations remain unsettled, leaving producers waiting for updated federal support programs.
Domestic textile demand plays a shrinking role in supporting U.S. cotton prices.