National Cotton Council Forecasts Acreage Downshift into 2026

Cotton acres slipping as competing crops gain ground.

cotton bud with the sunset_Photo by Kelli via AdobeStock_386673555.jpg

A cotton bud framed by a sunset.

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. cotton growers plan to reduce spring plantings as competing crop prices and regional economics reshape acreage decisions.

The National Cotton Council’s annual survey shows producers intend to plant 9.0 million acres in 2026, down 3.2 percent from last year. Upland cotton accounts for 8.8 million acres, while extra-long staple cotton rises 14 percent to 161,000 acres. Based on normal abandonment and yields, the crop is projected at approximately 12.7 million bales.

Economists with the National Cotton Council say relative crop prices drove the shift. Cotton prices were roughly unchanged from last year’s survey period, but soybeans strengthened slightly while corn softened, encouraging rotations away from cotton in several regions.

Southeast growers expect cotton acreage to fall 4.9 percent, while Mid-South plantings are projected at 1.2 million acres — down 20.6 percent from last year. In contrast, Southwest acreage is expected to rise 1.6 percent, led by a 0.4 percent increase in Texas. Western upland cotton acreage is projected to decline 7.2 percent.

ELS cotton acreage, however, is forecast to increase with Arizona up 3.2 percent, California up 8.0 percent, and Texas expanding ELS plantings by 69.8 percent.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Cotton acres slipping as competing crops gain ground.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Researchers at Florida Atlantic University’s Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institute found human sewage, not fertilizer, is mainly responsible for dangerous nitrogen levels in Florida’s Indian River Lagoon.
FarmHERs Amy Brown + Paige Dockweiler craft small-batch bourbon in Georgia, blending rare grains for unique flavor.
Even in this strong market, some beef producers are leaving money on the table by not following proven marketing practices.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Expect incremental near-term lift for feed grains, proteins, and ethanol as tariff cuts and smoother approvals translate into real orders.
If confirmed, early Chinese buys tighten nearby Gulf/PNW capacity and could bump basis in export-oriented regions.
Trade pacts with Malaysia and Cambodia unlock tariff-free and preferential lanes for key U.S. farm goods, expanding long-term demand in Southeast Asia.
The review signals renewed scrutiny of China’s agricultural trade pledges and could reshape farm export opportunities depending on its outcome.
The U.S.-Japan tech pact signals long-term investment in bio-innovation, connectivity, and secure supply chains — all of which can strengthen rural manufacturing, ag exports, and digital infrastructure critical to the next generation of farm productivity.
Export volumes remain positive year-to-date, but weaker soybean loadings and slowing wheat movement hint at early bottlenecks in global demand or river logistics. Farmers should watch basis levels and freight conditions as export competition heats up.