No WASDE This Month: Will China Buy Soybeans During the USDA Data Reporting Freeze?

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — The markets will be without a major monthly report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). We are talking about the WASDE report that should have been released on Thursday, but is now on hold due to the ongoing government shutdown.

In a large memo posted to the WASDE section of the USDA’s website, users are greeted with a message stating that the report is now suspended until further notice. Other reports are also on hold, with nearly half of USDA’s workforce in limbo until Congress appropriates the necessary spending. This includes information on overnight grain sales.

And without overnight data, that means the markets will be in the dark on purchases, including those by China. One market analyst tells us he would not be surprised if China bought some US soybeans while the information flow is shut off.

“Since then, what we’ve seen is renewed buying coming into the soybean market, and we’ve seen it in both futures and future spreads,” Darin Newsom explained. “And so, the big question last week, as I did all my interviews last week, was: How would we be able to tell without government guidance if the world’s largest buyer had stepped back in? Which they tend to do when the U.S. government shuts down because there’s no one reporting on their activity.”

He says there have been signs since the government shut down last week.

“We tend to see some business, albeit securing secondary supplies,” Newsom said. “How would we be able to tell what comes in the futures and what comes in the future spreads?”

For now, the October WASDE report is up in the air. In previous shutdowns, USDA never released those WASDE reports that had been delayed.

Related Stories
Real Ag’s Shaun Haney explains how farmers are approaching risk management and the steps they’re taking to strengthen profitability through better financial planning.
Valley Irrigation’s Darren Siekman explains the advantages of their new pivots for growers managing acreages of up to 60 acres.
ASFMRA’s George Baird shares insight on spring planting progress, acreage trends, and the financial factors influencing Mid-South farmers this season.
Heavy cattle weights are cushioning beef supplies despite shrinking herd numbers.
Domestic textile demand plays a shrinking role in supporting U.S. cotton prices.
Strong cattle markets are masking ongoing financial stress across crop agriculture.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Purdue University’s Dr. Michael Langemeier discusses the survey’s findings in February and broader signals in the months ahead.
Roger McEowen of Washburn University School of Law joined us to discuss key legal and tax issues ranchers should consider as they recover from recent prairie fires across the Southern Plains.
Texas lawmakers secure funding for sterile fly production as officials work to stop the New World screwworm from spreading into the U.S. cattle herd.
Pennsylvania Secretary of Agriculture Russell Redding discusses the recent surge in bird flu cases, the state’s expanded biosecurity response and efforts to support poultry producers.
Geopolitical risk is rapidly increasing fertilizer price volatility before planting.
China may no longer serve as a consistent anchor market for U.S. cotton exports. Lewis Williamson of HTS Commodities joined us to discuss the factors influencing planting decisions, river conditions, and what producers are considering as they finalize acreage plans for the season.
Agriculture Shows
From barnyards and back roads to metros and highways, Simply Southern TV on RFD Network explores all of Alabama to bring you the best stories on farming, gardening, forestry, rural living, and youth in agriculture.
In the first week of each month, “Down Home Virginia,” produced by the Virginia Farm Bureau, airs its half-hour program. Other states’ Farm Bureaus featured on different weeks include Texas, Arkansas, Indiana, Illinois, Tennessee, Idaho, and New York, and news from the American Farm Bureau from Washington, D.C.
Created by former Louisiana Farm Bureau PR Director and former host Regnal Wallace, “This Week in Louisiana Agriculture,” is one of the state’s longest-running TV programs.
From the rapid technological advances in the business of farming to the policy that helps shape the industry, growers get unparalleled perspective from these guys. Max Armstrong, Mike Pearson and Greg Soulje: the names producers have long known and trusted for agriculture news, weather, and commentary.