North American Hog Supplies Steady Despite Breeding Decline

The latest USDA numbers point to stable near-term pork supplies, while a smaller breeding herd could limit future production growth.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD News) — North American hog supplies remain relatively steady, but a smaller breeding herd could limit expansion. USDA reports the combined U.S. and Canadian inventory at 87.7 million head, up slightly from a year ago but 1% below 2024.

The combined breeding inventory fell 1% to 7.12 million head, while market hog numbers were slightly higher at 80.5 million. The semiannual pig crop increased 1% to 82.4 million head despite fewer sows farrowing.

U.S. hog inventory slipped slightly to 73.7 million head. The breeding herd declined 1% to 5.88 million, while market hog numbers were slightly above last year.

Canada provided most of the growth. Its hog inventory increased by 1% to 14 million head, while the pig crop jumped by 4% and the breeding herd rose by 1%.

For producers, the report points to stable near-term pork supplies but limited breeding expansion, keeping future production growth dependent on continued productivity gains.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Stable market hog supplies support pork production, but a smaller breeding herd could restrain future expansion.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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