Lumber Prices Fall as Housing Market Weakness Weighs on Demand

North American lumber prices fell 7% entering November as housing activity and seasonal demand weighed on the market. Timber values remain highly regional, with Southern pulpwood especially weak.

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NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD-TV) — North American lumber prices enter November under renewed pressure. Madison’s Lumber Prices Index ended last week at $459 per thousand board feet, down 7 percent from the previous week and 8 percent from a month earlier. Buyers remain cautious, with just-in-time purchasing and the normal seasonal slowdown limiting demand.

Housing remains a major headwind. September U.S. housing starts fell 5.2 percent from August and 7.4 percent from a year earlier to 1.221 million annually. Single-family starts fell to 859,000, while single-family permits declined 4 percent for the month.

In the South, third-quarter pine sawtimber averaged just under $24 per ton, up 2 percent from the previous quarter but still 5 percent below last year. Pine chip-n-saw averaged $16.50, down 8 percent from a year earlier.

Pine pulpwood remained the weakest category at just over $5 per ton, marking a seventh consecutive quarterly decline. Prices vary sharply by local wood basket, with pine sawtimber ranging from roughly $16-$19 per ton in parts of Tennessee and Virginia to more than $30 in Florida and western North Carolina.

In the Pacific Northwest, recent Oregon state timber-sale results show continued demand for Douglas-fir. An October 23 Forest Grove sale drew a winning Douglas-fir bid of about $588 per thousand board feet, although individual timber-sale bids should not be treated as regional averages.

Northeastern hardwood values remain highly species- and location-dependent. Pennsylvania’s latest report showed second-quarter white oak averaging roughly $490 to $698 per thousand board feet across several regions, while northern red oak averaged about $472 to $587.

Landowner Takeaway: Finished lumber prices weakened sharply entering November, while standing timber remains a highly local market, with Southern pulpwood especially weak and higher-value sawtimber and hardwood markets showing much wider regional variation.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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