Recent trade action likely isn’t priced into the markets yet, analysts say

The markets have responded in recent weeks to the rollout of President Trump’s trade policy. Analysts are closely watching the action in recent days but warn that the events of the last couple of weeks likely have not been accounted for yet.

“I don’t think they’ve priced it fully in, and I will circle back around to the soy complex. We’ve had a very weak product market. The biofuel, sustainable aviation fuel bulls in soybean oil have been very disappointed. They have probably been pushed out of the market. There’s probably a sense that they’re going to come back in,” said Mike Zuzolo.

Zuzolo says any future action in the soy complex will largely depend on what the EPA decides with blending in the coming months.

Related Stories
Corn export pace remains the bright spot, but stable ethanol export demand remains a critical support for corn markets.
Rail consolidation could affect grain basis, freight rates, and service reliability across major producing regions.
Ag leaders say President Donald Trump’s State of the Union is unlikely to spark major agriculture headlines, but ongoing tariff uncertainty and trade policy remain key concerns, as does the debate around glyphosate and the status of the next Farm Bill.
Higher output keeps milk supplies ample, reinforcing expectations for softer dairy prices even as feed costs remain favorable.
Expanded global trade access boosts long-term export demand potential for U.S. ag products.
Agriculture avoided major disruptions, but trade uncertainty remains elevated.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

National FFA Southern Region Vice President T. Wayne William talks about Wear Blue Day, the history of the blue jacket, and why the tradition continues to inspire pride and connection among FFA members nationwide.
NCBA Chief Counsel Mary-Thomas Hart discussed the legal process behind delisting the prairie chicken, the challenges ranchers faced under the bird’s previous protections, and the benefits of cooperative habitat management for both livestock and wildlife.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided insight on updated PLC rate estimates, the role of base acres, and the upcoming enrollment window for ARC and PLC programs.
Farm Bureau economist Danny Munch explains the importance of timely enrollment, and how the program helps dairy producers safeguard their operations against volatile milk markets.
National FFA Organization CEO Scott Stump shares the importance of Give FFA Day, how contributions support students, and why today is an opportunity for everyone to help invest in the future of agriculture.
USDA Farmer Bridge Assistance payments could begin this weekend as producers face tight margins, shifting acreage expectations, cattle herd contraction, and growing pressure for a stronger farm safety net.