MEMPHIS, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Low Mississippi River levels are disrupting the nation’s grain highway to world markets for the fourth consecutive year. Persistent drought has once again narrowed the navigation channel, raising concerns for farm income as harvest ramps up.
The U.S. Coast Guard has tightened restrictions, limiting southbound drafts to 10.5 feet near Memphis and capping tow sizes at six barges wide. Northbound traffic faces even stricter limits, with drafts reduced to 10 feet and shorter tows. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers has begun dredging near Memphis and Hickman, KY, to keep traffic moving.
Grain barge movements for the week ending September 13 totaled 252,000 tons, down 30 percent from the previous week and 32 percent below last year. Ocean shipping costs also climbed, with Gulf-to-Japan rates at $57.25 per metric ton—up 25 percent since January—while Pacific Northwest rates rose to $29.75. Rail volumes softened as well, with 22,201 grain carloads originating the week of September 6, down three percent from last year.
Tony’s Farm-Level Takeaway: River restrictions and rising freight rates may delay shipments and increase costs for grain farmers, underscoring the importance of monitoring logistics as harvest accelerates.
American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) economist Danny Munch joined us to break down what these conditions mean for grain transportation and producers across the region.
In his interview with RFD-TV News, Munch explained why barges are such a critical piece of the grain supply chain, how this year’s conditions have already slowed shipments, and the broader impact on farmers who depend on efficient river transport. Munch also emphasized that prolonged disruptions on the Mississippi not only raise costs but also threaten the competitiveness of U.S. grain in world markets.
Export volumes remain positive year-to-date, but weaker soybean loadings and slowing wheat movement hint at early bottlenecks in global demand or river logistics. Farmers should watch basis levels and freight conditions as export competition heats up.
October 28, 2025 10:58 AM
·
A fast-moving series of trade signals from the White House and key partners is resetting the near-term outlook for U.S. agriculture.
October 27, 2025 11:41 AM
·
Stay alert for trade announcements—especially border reopening timelines, tariff threats, and developments in Brazil’s export flows.
October 24, 2025 01:56 PM
·
Margin Protection and the new MCO add county-level margin tools — with earlier price discovery, input cost triggers, and high subsidy rates — to complement on-farm risk plans for 2026.
October 24, 2025 01:44 PM
·
Set targets and use forwards, futures, or options to manage downside while preserving room for rallies.
October 24, 2025 11:05 AM
·
Bangladesh’s buying surge offers temporary relief for U.S. farmers facing weaker Chinese demand, highlighting how global politics can reshape export outlets overnight.
October 24, 2025 10:57 AM
·
October 24, 2025 09:58 AM
·
American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) economist Bernt Nelson provides an updated outlook on the current U.S. cattle market.
October 23, 2025 02:20 PM
·
Sen. Roger Marshall explains which types of beef are imported into the United States, how there’s room for new imports, and logical reasons for current high prices.
October 23, 2025 12:10 PM
·
