Rural Money: Projected Decline in Total Acreage Across Wheat, Corn, and Soybeans Shifts PLC Payment Rates

Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided insight on updated PLC rate estimates, the role of base acres, and the upcoming enrollment window for ARC and PLC programs.

corn crop aerial_adobe stock.png

PARKER, COLORADO (RFD NEWS) — The latest projections from USDA’s Agricultural Outlook Forum are giving producers updated information to help navigate the market for major crops.

Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to break down the updated Price Loss Coverage (PLC) rate estimates for crops such as corn, soybeans, and wheat.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Neiffer highlighted key takeaways, including how updated market conditions and commodity prices are impacting expected payments and coverage levels. He also explained that changes in base acres for certain farms could influence PLC calculations, potentially affecting which program — PLC or Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC) — might be the better fit for each operation.

Neiffer reminded producers that enrollment for PLC and ARC programs typically opens through the USDA Farm Service Agency in the spring, and urged farmers to review their options carefully to optimize their farm safety nets.

How It Works: Price Loss Coverage (PLC) and ARC (Agricultural Risk Coverage)

Covered Commodities

  • 22 covered commodities including wheat, oats, barley, corn, grain sorghum, long grain rice, medium/short grain rice, temperate japonica rice, seed cotton, dry peas, lentils, large and small chickpeas, soybeans, peanuts, sunflower seed, canola, flaxseed, mustard seed, rapeseed, safflower, crambe, and sesame seed.
  • Program-specific reference prices and revenue guarantees.

Payment Triggers

  • ARC payments are triggered when actual revenue falls below the guaranteed level.
  • PLC payments are triggered when the market year average prices fall below the effective reference price.

Benefits

  • Provides financial support during periods of low prices or revenue shortfalls.
  • Helps stabilize income for farmers and ranchers.
  • Offers a safety net against market volatility.

Additional Benefits

  • Financial Stability: Offers a safety net to manage price and revenue risks.
  • Income Support: Helps maintain farm income stability during economic downturns.
  • Flexibility: Producers can choose between ARC and PLC based on their individual needs and commodity markets.
Related Stories
While agriculture doesn’t predict every recession, the sector’s long history of turning down before the broader economy
The ACRE Act modestly reduces farmland borrowing costs now, with more savings possible once federal guidance clarifies which loans qualify.
ARC-CO delivers the bulk of 2024 support, offering key margin relief as producers manage tight operating conditions.
Higher menu prices and tax-free tips are reshaping restaurant economics, sharply lifting server take-home pay even as diners face higher out-the-door costs.
The Tennessee Department of Agriculture is helping connect veterans with resources to pursue careers in farming and agriculture.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Despite calm, sunny conditions to start the morning, the veteran duo quickly deciphered the bite – then shifted gears perfectly when the fish changed.
Wed, 11/19/25 – 7:30 PM ET | 6:30 PM CT | 5:30 PM MT | 4:30 PM PT
As we continue our Countdown to Convention sponsored by Culver’s, we see how FFA helps students and alums like Kat Walker build skills for life through ag education.
American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) economist Bernt Nelson provides an updated outlook on the current U.S. cattle market.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer discusses the status of USDA disaster aid, including delays to Stage 2 of the SDRP program, and what farmers should watch for as lawmakers negotiate an end to the government shutdown.