Rural Money: Projected Decline in Total Acreage Across Wheat, Corn, and Soybeans Shifts PLC Payment Rates

Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided insight on updated PLC rate estimates, the role of base acres, and the upcoming enrollment window for ARC and PLC programs.

corn crop aerial_adobe stock.png

PARKER, COLORADO (RFD NEWS) — The latest projections from USDA’s Agricultural Outlook Forum are giving producers updated information to help navigate the market for major crops.

Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to break down the updated Price Loss Coverage (PLC) rate estimates for crops such as corn, soybeans, and wheat.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Neiffer highlighted key takeaways, including how updated market conditions and commodity prices are impacting expected payments and coverage levels. He also explained that changes in base acres for certain farms could influence PLC calculations, potentially affecting which program — PLC or Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC) — might be the better fit for each operation.

Neiffer reminded producers that enrollment for PLC and ARC programs typically opens through the USDA Farm Service Agency in the spring, and urged farmers to review their options carefully to optimize their farm safety nets.

How It Works: Price Loss Coverage (PLC) and ARC (Agricultural Risk Coverage)

Covered Commodities

  • 22 covered commodities including wheat, oats, barley, corn, grain sorghum, long grain rice, medium/short grain rice, temperate japonica rice, seed cotton, dry peas, lentils, large and small chickpeas, soybeans, peanuts, sunflower seed, canola, flaxseed, mustard seed, rapeseed, safflower, crambe, and sesame seed.
  • Program-specific reference prices and revenue guarantees.

Payment Triggers

  • ARC payments are triggered when actual revenue falls below the guaranteed level.
  • PLC payments are triggered when the market year average prices fall below the effective reference price.

Benefits

  • Provides financial support during periods of low prices or revenue shortfalls.
  • Helps stabilize income for farmers and ranchers.
  • Offers a safety net against market volatility.

Additional Benefits

  • Financial Stability: Offers a safety net to manage price and revenue risks.
  • Income Support: Helps maintain farm income stability during economic downturns.
  • Flexibility: Producers can choose between ARC and PLC based on their individual needs and commodity markets.
Related Stories
Brooks York with AgriSompo joined us with his outlook on crop insurance and risk management following the recent winter storm that tore through most of the United States, including the Midwest.
Payment totals alone do not show financial stress — production costs and net losses complete the picture.
Year-round E15 remains on the table, but procedural caution and competing regional interests pushed action into a slower, negotiated path.
Strong production and rising stocks may pressure ethanol margins unless demand or exports continue to improve.
Without additional support, many soybean operations will continue to face financial stress as they prepare for the 2026 crop.
USDA Rural Development Director for Kentucky, Travis Burton, joined us to discuss the Princeton facility (formerly Porter Road Meats), now backed by the USDA, and its role in expanding domestic meat processing capacity.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Roger McEowen, with the Washburn School of Law, offers an in-depth look at two of the top legal issues of 202. Today, he walks through last year’s Waters of the United States (WOTUS) ruling and “lawfare.”
Lewis Williamson of HTS Commodities joined us with an update on the historic winter storm impacts and his outlook on today’s ag markets.
Marilyn Schlake with the UNL Department of Agricultural Economics joined us for a closer look at the evolving role of livestock sale barns.
RFD NEWS correspondent Frank McCaffrey recently spoke with Dr. Mike Vickers, a South Texas rancher, who says illegal border crossings have dramatically declined in the last year.
Auction manager and West Texas A&M University student Presley Graves joined us to discuss the growth of StockShowAuctions.com and its impact on youth in agriculture.
Texas Farm Bureau President Russell Boening joined us with the latest update on storm conditions and impacts across the state.