Rural Money: Projected Decline in Total Acreage Across Wheat, Corn, and Soybeans Shifts PLC Payment Rates

Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided insight on updated PLC rate estimates, the role of base acres, and the upcoming enrollment window for ARC and PLC programs.

corn crop aerial_adobe stock.png

PARKER, COLORADO (RFD NEWS) — The latest projections from USDA’s Agricultural Outlook Forum are giving producers updated information to help navigate the market for major crops.

Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to break down the updated Price Loss Coverage (PLC) rate estimates for crops such as corn, soybeans, and wheat.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Neiffer highlighted key takeaways, including how updated market conditions and commodity prices are impacting expected payments and coverage levels. He also explained that changes in base acres for certain farms could influence PLC calculations, potentially affecting which program — PLC or Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC) — might be the better fit for each operation.

Neiffer reminded producers that enrollment for PLC and ARC programs typically opens through the USDA Farm Service Agency in the spring, and urged farmers to review their options carefully to optimize their farm safety nets.

How It Works: Price Loss Coverage (PLC) and ARC (Agricultural Risk Coverage)

Covered Commodities

  • 22 covered commodities including wheat, oats, barley, corn, grain sorghum, long grain rice, medium/short grain rice, temperate japonica rice, seed cotton, dry peas, lentils, large and small chickpeas, soybeans, peanuts, sunflower seed, canola, flaxseed, mustard seed, rapeseed, safflower, crambe, and sesame seed.
  • Program-specific reference prices and revenue guarantees.

Payment Triggers

  • ARC payments are triggered when actual revenue falls below the guaranteed level.
  • PLC payments are triggered when the market year average prices fall below the effective reference price.

Benefits

  • Provides financial support during periods of low prices or revenue shortfalls.
  • Helps stabilize income for farmers and ranchers.
  • Offers a safety net against market volatility.

Additional Benefits

  • Financial Stability: Offers a safety net to manage price and revenue risks.
  • Income Support: Helps maintain farm income stability during economic downturns.
  • Flexibility: Producers can choose between ARC and PLC based on their individual needs and commodity markets.
Related Stories
How the Public Trust Doctrine Threatens Agricultural Property Rights
Protein markets are fragmenting. Beef is supply-driven and more structurally expensive, whereas pork and poultry remain price-competitive.
Reducing mental stress and focusing on controllable actions can improve decision-making in high-pressure environments, according to Hollywood actor and former Calif Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger.
Tight fed supplies shift margin risk to packers, strengthening cattle price leverage but increasing volatility.
Prompt removal of Christmas trees and careful handling of decorations reduce winter fire risk during an already high-demand season for emergency services.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

AFBF Economist Faith Parum provides analysis and perspective on the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program—what commodity growers should know and potential remedies for producers facing crop losses where that aid falls short.
In a post to social media, Trump said Venezuela will buy American agriculture products and will use the money from oil sales to make it happen.
Federal nutrition policy is signaling a stronger demand for whole foods produced by U.S. farmers and ranchers. Consumer-facing guidance favors animal protein, but institutional demand may change little under existing saturated fat limits.
Farmer Bridge payments are being used primarily to reduce debt and protect cash flow, not drive new spending. Curt Blades with the Association of Equipment Manufacturers joined us to provide insight into the ag equipment market and the factors influencing sales.
Wed, 1/21/26 – 7:30 PM ET
University of Nebraska President Dr. Jeffrey Gold joined us to share insights on building healthy habits and improving rural health in the year ahead.