Strong Grain Demand Pushes Freight Costs Higher Nationwide

Strong export demand is supportive, but higher freight costs may pressure basis and grain movement margins.

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — Farmers have plenty of grain to move, and export demand remains strong, but transportation costs are rising across rail, barge, and ocean freight. USDA’s Grain Transportation Report says last fall’s record corn harvest helped push first-quarter corn exports to their highest level since 2021.

The biggest supply pressure is corn. USDA says December 1 corn stocks were about 1.6 billion bushels above the three-year average, with larger supplies concentrated across the western Corn Belt, including Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, Minnesota, and Iowa.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong export demand is supportive, but higher freight costs may pressure basis and grain movement margins.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

That grain still has to reach buyers. Rail grain carloads hit record year-to-date levels, while Mississippi River barge traffic recovered after winter disruptions. Ocean vessel loadings in the U.S. Gulf also ran ahead of last year.

The pressure point is fuel. USDA says diesel prices climbed sharply after oil market disruptions, raising rail fuel surcharges, towing costs, and ocean freight expenses.

Strong exports are helping move corn and wheat, but higher freight costs can still affect basis and local bids.

Related Stories
NCGA President Jed Bower joins us to discuss the House passage of year-round E15 legislation, potential opposition in the Senate, China trade talks, and spring planting progress.
Farmdoc economist estimates 2024 colony stock losses at roughly $175 million, with rebuilding and renovation costs near $161 million.
China’s soybean buying is shifting hard toward Brazil, leaving U.S. shipments at risk of slowing as South America’s record crop reaches export channels
EU simplification may reduce some paperwork, but U.S. exporters still face costly traceability requirements.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Strong ethanol exports support long-term growth in corn demand.
Jake Charleston from Specialty Risk Insurance Agency recapped an Oklahoma auctioneer contest and recent industry events, showing how stakeholder feedback helps insurers gauge market conditions and risk management needs.
Cattle-on-Feed is down on the year in the USDA’s April report, with lower placements and marketings signaling tighter feedlot activity.
Steven Snow with the U.S. Small Business Administration joined us to discuss tax relief for rural Americans and the long-term benefits of new provisions impacting farmers and small businesses.
Rising global supplies may cap soybean price strength, while sorghum prices hinge heavily on China’s export demand.
Strong ethanol output supports corn demand despite export weakness.