Supreme Court Scrutinizes Tariff Powers with Major Consequences for Agriculture

The Court may limit emergency tariff powers, complicating a key bargaining tool; ag could see shifts in input costs and export dynamics as China, Brazil, and India talks evolve.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD-TV) — The Supreme Court sounded wary of using the emergency-powers law (IEEPA) to levy broad tariffs, pressing whether Congress ever authorized the White House to tax imports at scale.

Reports from the chamber on Wednesday described bipartisan skepticism and repeated references to Congressional tariff authority, alongside questions about potential refunds of roughly $90 billion already collected. A ruling could narrow or reshape unilateral tariff tools used since 2025.

In agriculture, the case intersects with the administration’s leverage strategy: tariffs have been wielded to push partners to the bargaining table—from China’s Phase One purchases to current high-stakes talks with Brazil and India. Analysts note that while tariffs can force negotiations, they also invite retaliation and raise costs on steel, equipment, chemicals, and other farm inputs. If the Court curbs IEEPA tariffs, the White House may still reach for other trade statutes, but the scope and speed could change.

Near-term, growers face policy uncertainty as markets handicap outcomes and partners watch for signals. Negotiations with India continue amid steep U.S. duties; Brazil talks are active as tariffs ripple through beef and other flows; and China remains a touchstone for how tariff pressure translates into concessions. The decision, expected in 2026, will shape input costs, export access, and the playbook for future trade deals.

Farm-Level Takeaway: The Court may limit emergency tariff powers, complicating a key bargaining tool; ag could see shifts in input costs and export dynamics as China, Brazil, and India talks evolve.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Expert

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Australia’s expanding harvest and global oversupply are keeping wheat and barley prices capped, though canola markets may hold firmer on shifting oilseed demand.
Bioethanol continues to gain ground as the bridge fuel connecting agriculture, aviation, and maritime industries in the global shift toward lower-carbon energy.
Expanding bioethanol use strengthens rural economies, supports farm markets, and positions U.S. agriculture at the center of global low-carbon trade.
“President Trump Undercuts America’s Cattle Producers,” says NCBA
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) is investing now to make markets less volatile for ranchers over the long term and more affordable for consumers, according to a press release.
Elizabeth Strom with the American Society of Farm Managers & Rural Appraisers (ASFMRA) joined us to share the latest on harvest progress and market activity in her area.