Tariffs and Cartel Violence Pose Challenges for U.S.-Mexico Agricultural Trade

U.S.-Mexico agricultural trade faces uncertainty in 2026 as tariffs and cartel violence threaten farmers and ranchers. Congressman Henry Cuellar and Texas leaders weigh in on impacts and risks.

post_206.jpeg

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum Meets with U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins in the National Palace in Mexico City. (Nov. 3, 2025)

Gobierno de Mexico

SOUTH TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — So far, 2026 has been a year of challenges for agricultural trade between the United States and Mexico. Among the major issues are President Donald Trump’s talk of new tariffs following a February 20 Supreme Court decision that struck down his emergency tariffs, and concerns over recent reports of cartel violence in Mexico.

U.S. Representative Henry Cuellar (D-TX) says there is no doubt the tariffs have affected trade.

“The tariffs, if you talk to the ranchers and the farmers, they certainly have been impacted,” Rep. Cuellar said. “And as you know, the Supreme Court declared those tariffs unconstitutional, and then he dug in and went into another section, which allows them to put tariffs for 150 days.”

Cuellar is openly opposed to the tariffs, citing the impact on prices: “They raise the prices of goods, and that’s why the affordability issue is so important.”

Republican Texas State Representative Janie Lopez offered a statement on the issue:

“Anything that is USMCA-compliant is exempt from the new 15 percent tariffs,” Lopez said. “If the item is not USMCA-compliant, it would have a tariff, essentially a trade enforcement tool. And, I should remind you it was the threat of tariffs that made Mexico decide to make the water payments it owed.”

Beyond tariffs, cartel activity in Mexico has raised concerns about potential disruptions to agricultural trade. Now, Rep. Lopez also told RFD NEWS, that the cartels can do damage to trade by having road blockages in Mexico on the other side of that bridge, and also by the suspension of USDA inspections. This raises concerns about how much damage they could cause.

Despite these concerns, Rep. Cuellar said he is not currently worried about cartels blocking agricultural shipments.

“Well, right now, we haven’t seen the drug cartels affect the movement of traffic. As you know, they focus on one thing, and that is drugs, human trafficking, smuggling...that’s what they’re focusing on,” Cuellar said. “They haven’t, as far as we know, really, purposely focused on the supply chains, you know, that will affect the U.S.”

Still, he says U.S. agricultural interests should remain vigilant regarding cartel activity.

“I want to commend the Mexican government because, you know, they lost 25 soldiers,” Cuellar said. “It’s hard when you lose military soldiers as they did, but they did go after the number one campaign. And, of course, now we’ve got to see how this is going to [develop] — who’s going to take over and what sort of operation — but anytime the top person, you know, leaves for whatever reason or dies, then there’s always a struggle to see who’s going to take over.”

For now, those engaged in agricultural trade with Mexico will have to wait and see how the situation develops at the top of the nation’s cartels.

Frank McCaffrey reporting for RFD NEWS.

Related Stories
House Agriculture Chairman Glenn “GT” Thompson says the 2026 Farm Bill is bipartisan, with 82% of the bills incorporated into it receiving bipartisan support.
High beef prices are squeezing South Texas restaurants, but Texas Farm Bureau says consumer demand remains strong despite record costs.
Canal consolidation during expansion could support export stability, but producers should watch for scheduling or policy changes.
Rail consolidation could affect grain basis, freight rates, and service reliability across major producing regions.
For communities that depend on agriculture as their primary economic engine, the recession is not defined by headlines on Wall Street. It is defined by the quiet disappearance of the businesses that once processed, serviced, and supported the crop.
Alan Bjerga of the National Milk Producers Federation discusses the Dairy Margin Coverage program, recent improvements, and what producers need to know ahead of this week’s enrollment deadline.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

USDA Farmer Bridge Assistance payments could begin this weekend as producers face tight margins, shifting acreage expectations, cattle herd contraction, and growing pressure for a stronger farm safety net.
Three junior heifer exhibitors continue their trek through the Texas Swing at the San Antonio Stock Show, balancing competition, friendship, and life on the road.
Lynn County 4-H students showcase robotics and STEM skills at the San Antonio Stock Show, highlighting how ag education programs are preparing the next generation in agritech.
University of Nebraska President Dr. Jeffrey Gold discusses lingering winter illnesses, shares strategies to boost immunity, and advises rural communities on when to seek medical care on Rural Health Matters.
Nick Westgerdes of the American Society of Farm Managers & Rural Appraisers breaks down farmland values, rental rates, and sales trends in Illinois, while previewing the upcoming land values conference for 2026.
As National FFA Week continues, Ag Teacher Appreciation Day serves as a reminder of the lasting impact ag educators have on students, communities, and the future of American agriculture.