Livestock economists are not expecting much change in next year’s cattle market.
Experts are Rabobank say producers are holding back replacement heifers as they continue fighting drought and high feed prices. Right now, researchers are focused on studying total female cattle slaughter numbers, and they estimate 2022 will end with 17.6 million head of cows and heifers slaughtered. They warn those numbers could have long-lasting implications, including sacrificing gains in next year’s cow herd.
Without better precipitation over the winter and into next spring, researchers say the pattern will likely continue into 2024’s cow herd.
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Treat storage as risk management and logistics, and budget to break even since export growth is unlikely to absorb bigger U.S. corn and soybean crops.
Escalating U.S.–China tensions threaten soybean demand as farm finances are stretched further.
The news immediately caused a drop in equities and commodities, with soybeans down 20 percent in a matter of minutes.
Expect a steady corn grind and selective basis strength where exports and local blending stay active.
Expect business-as-usual for most container exports.
