Tight Grain Storage Drives Surge in Rail Shipments

Pressure on grain storage capacity and stronger export positioning are pushing more grain onto railroads, highways, and river systems as logistics become a key bottleneck this fall.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Grain transportation networks are under heavy pressure this fall as U.S. grain supplies exceed available storage for the first time since 2016. USDA estimates total fall grain supplies at 25.66 billion bushels — about 10% above average — leaving a national storage deficit of 184 million bushels. That shortage is forcing more grain into rapid movement, heightening demand for rail, barge, and truck capacity heading into winter.

States with the most profound storage deficits include Iowa (-390 mbu), Kansas (-320 mbu), South Dakota (-318 mbu), North Dakota (-310 mbu), Nebraska (-257 mbu), and Minnesota (-205 mbu). These same states now account for most of the emergency storage authorized under the U.S. Warehouse Act. Rail traffic is responding, with Kansas, Minnesota, and South Dakota each loading significantly more grain cars over the past six weeks.

Producers are also seeing infrastructure support expand. In Ohio, a $500,000 state grant will help rehabilitate R.J. Corman’s Western Ohio Lines, improving access to multiple grain elevators served by CSX and Norfolk Southern. Meanwhile, Iowa has temporarily suspended weight limits for grain and fertilizer transport through December 19, allowing trucks up to 90,000 pounds on non-interstate highways.

Export activity remains steady despite logistics strain, with unshipped balances for corn, soybeans, and wheat up 8% from last year. But barge movements dipped 12% last week, and ocean vessel loadings from the Gulf remain below year-ago levels. Brian Hoops, of Midwest Market Solutions, says USDA’s latest data shows solid sales for corn, soybeans, and wheat. He says rains are helping parts of South America, though some regions still need moisture, and early soybean interest from China is adding support.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Tight grain storage and stronger export positioning are pushing more grain onto railroads, highways, and river systems as logistics become a key bottleneck this fall.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Rabobank’s outlook signals a tightening margin environment, emphasizing the need for cost control, trade stability, and clearer policy signals heading into 2026.
Farm Bureau Economist Faith Parum discusses key outcomes from the U.S.-China trade agreement and the benefits of expanding trade across Southeast Asia.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to discuss the implications for farmers.
Chris Bliley with Growth Energy discusses ongoing concerns about U.S. ethanol exports and the expansion of market access promised under the Phase One deal between the U.S. and China.
“It does not extinguish right away here — in any sort of sense — the real profitability concerns and people’s ability to pay bills and get to the other side of this in the very short term. This is where the skepticism builds.”
U.S. Senator Roger Marshall (R-KS) shares his perspective on the U.S.-China trade developments and their potential impact on American producers, farmers, and ranchers.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Harvested acres are estimated at 90.0 million, making this year’s corn crop one of the largest since the 1930s.
U.S. producers are holding off on equipment investments amid financial pressure, market uncertainty, a rising demand for diesel, and growing desperation for trade wins.
How many burgers could you buy instead of a house?
Let’s take a look at harvest progress as of early September 2025, across all 50 U.S. States, prepared by Market Day Report anchor and RFD-TV Markets Expert Tony St. James.