Tight Supply Lifts Lamb Prices Above Seasonal Expectations

Lamb prices have seen a surprising surge driven by a tight supply and increasing demand in non-traditional markets.

COLLEGE STATION, Texas (RFD-TV)—Across the United States, lamb markets are showing an unusual pattern this season. Prices are rising this time of year when the market typically softens, giving producers a rare boost. The Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service reports significant movement in both cash and wholesale markets.

“We’ve got prices going up when normally they’re going down this time of year, seasonally — so, we got a real, pretty strong kind of counter-seasonal market rally happening — and we’ve got higher prices in the wholesale cutout value market as well,” explained David Anderson with Texas A&M. “So, there’s really some good movement in terms of prices in the right direction, and interestingly enough, we’ve got a little more production going on, too. So, you put the thing together, and it looks like a pretty good picture for the movement of products and prices.”

Even as the traditional lamb market faces challenges from imports, producers are finding opportunities in new, non-traditional areas, even creative approaches, such as grazing under solar panels.

“We have an industry that, in some respects, is struggling, but in some respects is growing; we have a traditional market that’s really been impacted by imports, and we have a growing non-traditional market,” Anderson explained. “You know, grazing solar panels and everything else have provided some more opportunities. I think it’s difficult to find new alternatives that work sometimes — because oftentimes, what we’re doing is what’s best suited for an AA— and so, trying to make something else work. But I think a lot of people are looking for new alternatives, and they need to check [solar panel grazing] out as well.”

Livestock Production Trends: Lamb Tells a Different Story

Rising productivity is reshaping beef and pork markets, allowing steady output with fewer breeding animals. Lamb production, however, illustrates how consumer demand and breed shifts can reduce per-animal output, creating different pressures within the industry.

Lamb production has dropped from 57 pounds in 2000 to 48 pounds in 2024, reflecting growing consumer demand for smaller carcasses and the rise of hair sheep breeds.

Related Stories
Stagger buys and diversifies fertilizer sources — watch CBAM, India’s tenders, and Brazil’s import pace to time urea, phosphate, and potash purchases.
Tight cattle supplies keep prices high for ranchers, but policy shifts, export barriers, and packer losses signal a volatile road ahead for the beef supply chain.
Distillers dried grains (DDG) values follow corn and soybean meal trends, with ethanol grind and feed demand shaping costs into early 2026.
Recognizing phosphorus and potash as critical minerals underscores their importance in crop production and food security, providing producers with an added layer of risk protection.
Global nitrogen and phosphate prices remain high despite improved supply fundamentals, with limited Chinese exports and stronger fall applications tightening availability.
The Sheinbaum–Rollins meeting signals progress, but the focus remains on fully containing screwworm before cross-border movement resumes.
Brooks York with Agri-Sompo discusses how this year’s pricing period played out and what it could mean for farmers heading into the end of the season.
An import lag for ground beef will likely look different than last year’s egg shortage. The difference comes down to biosecurity and market flexibility.