Tree Nut Outlook Mixed as Tightening Almond Supply Supports Prices, While Pistachios Hold Steady

California almond acreage tightens while pistachios shift into an off-year, shaping a mixed outlook for prices and supply in the tree nut market.

SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY, CALIFORNIA (RFD News) — Two different trends are shaping California’s tree nut industry. Almond acreage is tightening after several years of pressure, while pistachios are moving from a strong production year into a lighter crop cycle.

Producer William Bourdeau says those shifts could begin to show up in the marketplace, explaining that tightening supply could help bring almond prices closer to balance as demand strengthens.

“You know, I’m optimistic that almond prices will improve, and there’s a lot of acres that came out of production. There are a lot of acres that were deficit-irrigated. They’re a sensitive crop, and so I do think supply and demand equilibrium will start sorting itself out. And as demand increases and supply goes down, the price should improve. And so I’m optimistic.”

On the other hand, pistachio prices are holding steady, despite a shifting outlook for the upcoming harvest.

“Pistachios, we still have a decent price,” Bourdeau said. “I think this is an off year. So we had a really big crop last year. It’s going to be a more modest crop this year. So I think prices will remain close to the same as last year. And so I’m very optimistic that pistachios, if we don’t have some strange weather events or something that adversely impacts the yield, I feel really good about pistachios in the near term.”

He adds that, barring weather disruptions, pistachios are expected to remain steady in the months ahead.

Related Stories
Dr. Peter Beetham, interim CEO of Cibus, joined us to discuss the status of EU gene-editing deregulation and its potential implications for agriculture.
The House Agriculture Committee is set to debate a new, “skinny” Farm Bill at the end of February, according to a release from Committee Chairman Rep. Glenn “GT” Thompson.
The phone call injected optimism into the soybean market, but actual Chinese buying and its timing will ultimately determine the extent of U.S. agricultural export benefits.
Regulatory uncertainty could slow the growth of fiber and grain hemp unless implementation is delayed.
Joined by her parents and sisters, we go beyond Kirbe’s job hosting FarmHER + RanchHER to discover the person and story behind the show.
We caught up with John Deere’s Hay & Forage Got-To Market Manager Kaylene Ballesteros to learn how tech is evolving how producers make hay, from baling efficiency to operator confidence.

Knoxville native Neal Burnette-Irwin is a graduate from MTSU where he majored in Journalism and Entertainment Studies. He works as a digital content producer with RFD News and is represented by multiple talent agencies in Nashville and Chicago.


LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Tennessee Ag in focus: Commissioner Holt shares his farm economy outlook, the TNFB honors a cotton legacy, and TN 4-H and FFA leaders discuss support for the next generation of agriculture in Tennessee.
RealAg Radio’s Shaun Haney shares insights from new Real Agri-Studies research surrounding the relationship between farmers and their lenders and what it reveals about the current farm economy.
Farm Bureau economist Dr. Faith Parum explains how geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East could further tighten fertilizer movement, increase fuel costs, and complicate planting decisions for U.S. farmers this spring.
Missouri Farm Bureau President Garrett Hawkins discusses the potential impact of data center growth on farmland, the Landowner Fairness Act, and key priorities for Missouri farmers heading into planting season.
Dr. Jeffrey Gold provides insights on supporting aging populations in rural communities on this week’s Rural Health Matters segment.
OHFB President Bill Patterson shares an update from Washington on the group’s policy priorities and the issues shaping agriculture ahead of the 2026 planting season.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.