KANSAS CITY, Mo. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. agriculture entered 2026 with mixed financial signals, as strong livestock markets continue to offset pressure on crop producers, according to the latest Agricultural Financial Update from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
The report shows overall economic resilience supporting agriculture, but with widening gaps across industry sectors. Cattle prices remained a standout, supported by tight supplies, strong calf values, and lower feed costs, while dairy margins benefited earlier from herd growth and improved price-to-feed ratios. Livestock remains the farm economy’s brightest spot.
Row crop producers face a tougher outlook. Elevated U.S. and global supplies of corn and soybeans have weighed on prices, pushing crop profit margins close to breakeven. The analysis indicates that insurance programs and ad hoc government payments helped stabilize incomes in 2024 and 2025, but those supports are expected to provide only modest relief in 2026.
Financial stress remains contained but is building. Farm loan delinquency rates remain low, yet survey data indicate tightening credit conditions, higher loan demand, and pressure on renter-operators without land equity. Farmland values and cash rents have remained firm, helping keep overall leverage steady despite rising debt.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Livestock strength is carrying the farm economy, while crop margins remain tight and increasingly dependent on risk management and financial discipline.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
The government shutdown has touched nearly every sector of the ag industry since it began, and now impacts are spilling over into dairy.
October 20, 2025 12:46 PM
·
Southern farms are deepening online engagement for cost savings and market access, while higher-cost precision technologies face renewed scrutiny amid tight budgets.
October 20, 2025 11:22 AM
·
Slightly higher output amid softer gasoline pull points to steady corn grind — watch regional stocks and export pace for basis clues.
October 17, 2025 04:59 PM
·
Expect firm calf and fed-cattle prices — pair selective heifer retention with prudent hedging and liquidity to bridge rebuilding costs.
October 17, 2025 04:54 PM
·
The Louisiana cotton crop is the smallest on record, but strong yields are a silver lining. LSU AgCenter’s Craig Gautreaux reports from northeast Louisiana.
October 17, 2025 04:48 PM
·
Using FEMA and USDA data, Trace One researchers estimate average annual U.S. agricultural losses of $3.48 billion, with drought accounting for more than half.
October 17, 2025 04:29 PM
·
Soybean farmer and Arkansas Lt. Gov. Leslie Rutledge highlights why the U.S. trade standoff with China is especially critical for Arkansas producers.
October 17, 2025 04:07 PM
·
Having a good read on fuel prices is a must during harvest, but one analyst says grain farmers should also be watching the crude oil markets.
October 17, 2025 01:26 PM
·
The new antitrust agreement between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) aims to enforce antitrust laws and monitor market activity across the ag sector.
October 17, 2025 12:27 PM
·
