U.S. Immigration Policy Shifts Could Reshape Farm Labor Supply

Labor supply may shift, but uncertainty remains for producers.

immigration statue of liberty adobe stock.png

Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — Changes in immigration policy could significantly reshape the U.S. agricultural labor force in 2026, with potential shifts away from undocumented workers toward expanded use of H-2A guest workers. Economists with North Carolina State Extension say agriculture remains especially vulnerable due to its heavy reliance on foreign labor.

Foreign workers make up roughly two-thirds of the farm labor force, with undocumented workers accounting for about 40 percent of hired crop labor. Tighter enforcement policies could reduce that workforce, particularly in labor-intensive regions like California, Florida, and the Southeast.

The H-2A program continues to expand, with more than 300,000 visas issued in 2024. Recent program changes — including adjustments to wage calculations and the introduction of skill-based pay tiers — are expected to lower wage requirements in many states and encourage greater use of the program.

While increased H-2A participation could offset some labor losses, challenges remain. Costs, administrative burdens, and long-term labor availability continue to concern producers.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Labor supply may shift, but uncertainty remains for producers.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

Farmers across the U.S. are under immense pressure lately, and specialty crop growers are no exception.

The Georgia Fruit and Vegetable Growers Association is putting the spotlight on trade as farmers explain what they are facing in today’s farm economy. Produce is big business in Georgia, with the USDA reporting that there are around 3,000 to 4,000 farms there dedicated to specialty crops.

Related Stories
American soybean and corn leaders, along with Canada’s AgriFood sector, testified before the U.S. Trade Representative’s Office in support of the trade pact between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.
Texas livestock producers face a heightened biosecurity threat as New World screwworm detections in northern Mexico coincide with FDA approval of the first topical treatment.
“The Expanding Access to Risk Protection (EARP) Final Rule streamlines requirements across multiple crops, responds to producer feedback, and strengthens USDA’s commitment to putting America’s farmers first,” said the USDA.
Rep. Michelle Fischbach shares her appreciation for rural communities and outlines how the Working Families Tax Cut is aimed to support farm families on RFD-TV’s Champions of Rural America.
Rooster is a full-time farmhand, right-hand man on Shawn Raff’s cattle and dairy operation in Eatonton, Georgia.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Retail competition and improved supplies are helping offset food inflation, pushing Thanksgiving meal costs modestly lower despite higher prices for beef, eggs, and dairy.
While agriculture doesn’t predict every recession, the sector’s long history of turning down before the broader economy
The ACRE Act modestly reduces farmland borrowing costs now, with more savings possible once federal guidance clarifies which loans qualify.
ARC-CO delivers the bulk of 2024 support, offering key margin relief as producers manage tight operating conditions.
Higher menu prices and tax-free tips are reshaping restaurant economics, sharply lifting server take-home pay even as diners face higher out-the-door costs.
USDA’s steady yields and heavy global stocks keep grains range-bound unless demand firms or South American weather becomes a real threat.