USDA Tightens Corn and Wheat Outlooks In August

USDA lowered ending stocks for corn, wheat and cotton while raising price projections.

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Dusan Kostic, Adobe Stock

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD News) — USDA’s August outlook tightened major crop projections, led by corn, wheat and cotton. Corn production remains near 16 billion bushels, but the first survey-based yield estimate fell to 180.7 bushels per acre.

Corn exports were raised to 3.3 billion bushels, while ending stocks fell to 1.7 billion. USDA raised the farm price to $4.50. Wheat production slipped to 1.531 billion bushels, with ending stocks down 22 percent from last year and the price raised to $6.20. Soybean production increased to 4.5 billion bushels on higher acreage despite a slightly lower yield. Crush was raised to 2.78 billion bushels, ending stocks increased to 320 million, and the farm price remained $11.40.

Cotton production was cut to 13.61 million bales as yield fell to 798 pounds per acre. Ending stocks declined to 4 million bales, while USDA raised the farm price to 75 cents per pound.

Secondary changes included a reduction in sorghum production and weaker cattle and dairy price outlooks. For row-crop producers, August projections favor corn, wheat and cotton, while soybeans remain balanced between larger supplies and stronger crush demand.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Tighter corn, wheat and cotton supplies improve price support, while soybeans remain more balanced.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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