U.S. beef exports to China have been stalled since early March, and chicken exports dropped nearly 50 percent back in February.
Economists with StoneX have been watching the situation, and say they are not holding their breath for a resolution anytime soon, pointing to the high approval rating of China’s president.
“Xi Jinping is the one who has the courage to stand up to America, and so a sense of nationalism is very strong in China right now, and Xi Jinping’s popularity is very high. And so, if he negotiates, he risks looking weak in doing so, and that’s also an incentive for him not to negotiate. I don’t expect an agreement with China anytime soon. A little bit sobering related to that, USDA currently projects ending stocks of soybeans in China at 44 million metric tons. That’s surplus supplies. That’s nearly twice what they bought from us this year,” said Arlan Suderman.
China’s government recently distributed a propaganda video condemning the U.S., accusing America of bullying other countries into submission. Suderman says this situation is likely to be a defining moment in the fight for the largest economy and military in the world.
While this month’s WASDE report will not include updated figures on U.S. crop size, officials say it will offer a clearer picture of crop conditions in the Southern Hemisphere.
December 08, 2025 01:16 PM
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USTR Jamieson Greer signals a narrower trade deal with China, adding more market uncertainty. The Farm Bureau also supports reviewing China’s missed trade commitments under the Phase One.
December 08, 2025 01:00 PM
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Mike Steenhoek, with the Soy Transportation Commission, shares his outlook on current grain stocks and transportation lines amid bumper crops filling bins across the United States.
December 05, 2025 02:18 PM
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American soybean and corn leaders, along with Canada’s AgriFood sector, testified before the U.S. Trade Representative’s Office in support of the trade pact between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.
December 05, 2025 12:29 PM
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Texas livestock producers face a heightened biosecurity threat as New World screwworm detections in northern Mexico coincide with FDA approval of the first topical treatment.
December 05, 2025 11:27 AM
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Higher ocean freight raises export costs just as global grain competition intensifies.
December 04, 2025 02:50 PM
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