Weekly State Crop, Livestock & Agribusiness Update — Monday, December 22, 2025

Markets Specialist Tony St. James outlines the state of agribusiness this week with a state-by-state look at crop and livestock production conditions across the U.S.

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — This week, producers across the country balanced winter weather disruptions, shifting export demand, and tightening margins as year-end decisions come into focus. Ice, flooding, and low water reshaped grain movement, while livestock and dairy markets sent mixed signals heading into the final weeks of 2025.

Great Plains

  • Texas — Cotton harvest winds down across the High Plains; gins are managing throughput amid cold snaps. Wheat stands mixed under dry La Niña patterns; feeder demand firm as hay and diesel remain watch points.
  • Oklahoma — Wheat pasture limited by moisture; fall calves moving steadily. Input pricing and freight costs guide winter planning.
  • Kansas — Wheat seeded; emergence uneven where moisture was missed. Interior corn basis supported by export pace; feedyards are active.
  • Nebraska — Corn and soybean movement steady; ethanol demand supportive. Propane and rail availability monitored amid cold.
  • North & South Dakota — Harvest complete; basis stronger away from the river. Calf runs seasonally strong with feed availability shaping bids.

Midwest

  • Iowa — River ice slows barge options; rail picks up slack. Ethanol production at record levels supports corn demand despite tight margins.
  • Illinois — Illinois River ice requires couplings; interior basis firmer than the Gulf. Fertilizer pricing is sticky.
  • Minnesota & Wisconsin — Corn movement steady; dairy margins tightening as milk prices slide. Feed costs are rising.
  • Michigan — Processing demand supports grain; fuel costs ease slightly.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas — Soybeans and rice largely wrapped up; barge flow uneven but functional.
  • Louisiana — Export loadings are active despite fewer vessels; freight costs remain elevated.
  • Mississippi — Grain movement steady; logistics monitored amid river levels.
  • Georgia & Alabama — Cotton harvest finishing; peanuts mostly complete. Input inflation persists.
  • Florida — Trucking costs remain a concern for specialty crops and feed.

West & Southwest

  • Arizona & New Mexico — Forage and water planning dominate winter outlooks.
  • Colorado & Utah — Wheat stands variable; diesel and fertilizer costs pressure budgets.
  • California — Specialty crop growers face labor and trade headwinds; logistics costs remain top concern.
  • Nevada — Hay movement slows seasonally; water planning extends into 2026.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington & Oregon — Flooding briefly disrupted rail access to export terminals; service restored. Grain inspections remain above average.
  • Idaho — Rail movement steady; feedlots managing corn costs.
  • Montana — Hay supplies adequate; wheat acres monitored under dry conditions.
  • Wyoming — Winter logistics and feed access in focus.

Northeast

  • New York & Pennsylvania — Dairy producers reassessing risk management as milk prices fall. Feed and energy costs guide winter budgets.
  • Maryland & Delaware — Soybean movement steady; freight costs remain elevated.
  • New EnglandSpecialty crop sales support cash flow; winter energy planning underway.

Upper Midwest & Great Lakes

  • Michigan — Sugar beets, dry beans, and soybeans share transport lanes; dairy margins are strained.
  • Wisconsin — Basis steady near feed mills; fuel relief modest.
  • Ohio — Corn and soy mostly complete; inland basis stronger than river.

Far North & Territories

  • Alaska — Feed and fuel shipments critical ahead of deep winter; freight costs elevated.
  • U.S. Territories — Logistics delays persist; small-scale ag continues under high transport premiums.
Related Stories
Jeramy Stephens with National Land Realty shares tips for fall and winter to guide landowners and farmers.
USMEF President and CEO Dan Halstrom shares how recent trade talks are influencing U.S. red meat global sales and the importance of key trade agreements like the USMCA.
Iowa Ag Secretary Naig recaps discussions surrounding a potential federal aid package for farmers and shares insights on producer sentiment in the Heartland.
Dr. Jeffrey Gold, President of the University of Nebraska, joined RFD-TV to discuss coping strategies for those aching joints.
Winter weather will challenge livestock producers working to rebuild their herds despite harsh conditions.
Enforceable origin labels could create clearer premiums for U.S. cattle and address concerns some producers have had with competition from foreign imported beef.
A court decision that overturns Enlist labels would remove two major herbicides from use and reshape EPA’s future mitigation policies for other pesticides.
Rural businesses report softer sales, tougher hiring, and restrained investment — a backdrop that can pinch farm support capacity even if posted prices cool.
Friday’s release will be the first WASDE report in about two months, and early estimates indicate a corn surplus is still on the way.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Arizona producers are proving that desert farming and water conservation can coexist through technology, reuse, and efficiency — reinforcing both food security and environmental stewardship.
Rabobank’s outlook signals a tightening margin environment, emphasizing the need for cost control, trade stability, and clearer policy signals heading into 2026.
Treat succession like any major crop — plan early, document clearly, and calibrate cash flow so the next generation can succeed.
Chris Bliley with Growth Energy discusses ongoing concerns about U.S. ethanol exports and the expansion of market access promised under the Phase One deal between the U.S. and China.
With core input inflation still hovering high, growers and retailers should plan pricing and promotions with tighter margins in mind — target early sales, leverage bundle deals, and secure logistics ahead of peak Halloween demand.
The U.S.-China summit raises hopes for stronger exports and reduced barriers, but U.S. ag players should remain strategically cautious until concrete volumes and certifications materialize.