Weekly State Crop, Livestock & Agribusiness Update — Monday, December 22, 2025

Markets Specialist Tony St. James outlines the state of agribusiness this week with a state-by-state look at crop and livestock production conditions across the U.S.

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — This week, producers across the country balanced winter weather disruptions, shifting export demand, and tightening margins as year-end decisions come into focus. Ice, flooding, and low water reshaped grain movement, while livestock and dairy markets sent mixed signals heading into the final weeks of 2025.

Great Plains

  • Texas — Cotton harvest winds down across the High Plains; gins are managing throughput amid cold snaps. Wheat stands mixed under dry La Niña patterns; feeder demand firm as hay and diesel remain watch points.
  • Oklahoma — Wheat pasture limited by moisture; fall calves moving steadily. Input pricing and freight costs guide winter planning.
  • Kansas — Wheat seeded; emergence uneven where moisture was missed. Interior corn basis supported by export pace; feedyards are active.
  • Nebraska — Corn and soybean movement steady; ethanol demand supportive. Propane and rail availability monitored amid cold.
  • North & South Dakota — Harvest complete; basis stronger away from the river. Calf runs seasonally strong with feed availability shaping bids.

Midwest

  • Iowa — River ice slows barge options; rail picks up slack. Ethanol production at record levels supports corn demand despite tight margins.
  • Illinois — Illinois River ice requires couplings; interior basis firmer than the Gulf. Fertilizer pricing is sticky.
  • Minnesota & Wisconsin — Corn movement steady; dairy margins tightening as milk prices slide. Feed costs are rising.
  • Michigan — Processing demand supports grain; fuel costs ease slightly.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas — Soybeans and rice largely wrapped up; barge flow uneven but functional.
  • Louisiana — Export loadings are active despite fewer vessels; freight costs remain elevated.
  • Mississippi — Grain movement steady; logistics monitored amid river levels.
  • Georgia & Alabama — Cotton harvest finishing; peanuts mostly complete. Input inflation persists.
  • Florida — Trucking costs remain a concern for specialty crops and feed.

West & Southwest

  • Arizona & New Mexico — Forage and water planning dominate winter outlooks.
  • Colorado & Utah — Wheat stands variable; diesel and fertilizer costs pressure budgets.
  • California — Specialty crop growers face labor and trade headwinds; logistics costs remain top concern.
  • Nevada — Hay movement slows seasonally; water planning extends into 2026.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington & Oregon — Flooding briefly disrupted rail access to export terminals; service restored. Grain inspections remain above average.
  • Idaho — Rail movement steady; feedlots managing corn costs.
  • Montana — Hay supplies adequate; wheat acres monitored under dry conditions.
  • Wyoming — Winter logistics and feed access in focus.

Northeast

  • New York & Pennsylvania — Dairy producers reassessing risk management as milk prices fall. Feed and energy costs guide winter budgets.
  • Maryland & Delaware — Soybean movement steady; freight costs remain elevated.
  • New EnglandSpecialty crop sales support cash flow; winter energy planning underway.

Upper Midwest & Great Lakes

  • Michigan — Sugar beets, dry beans, and soybeans share transport lanes; dairy margins are strained.
  • Wisconsin — Basis steady near feed mills; fuel relief modest.
  • Ohio — Corn and soy mostly complete; inland basis stronger than river.

Far North & Territories

  • Alaska — Feed and fuel shipments critical ahead of deep winter; freight costs elevated.
  • U.S. Territories — Logistics delays persist; small-scale ag continues under high transport premiums.
Related Stories
Record milk output looks strong today, but shrinking replacement numbers mean future supply adjustments could be faster and more volatile.
A rapidly intensifying winter storm is expected to develop into a bomb cyclone this weekend, affecting the Southeast, southern Virginia, and potentially parts of the mid‑Atlantic and New England.
Often overlooked, cotton wholesalers act as stabilizers during market stress, translating fragmented retail demand into workable production programs for mills and manufacturers.
Strong blending demand continues to support ethanol use even as production and exports fluctuate.
AFBF Economist Danny Munch shares a closer look at the dairy market and the forces impacting producers today.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer helps producers navigate farm program payments and understand the key details farmers need to know.
Early indications suggest the U.S. cattle industry may be nearing the end of its liquidation phase. Oklahoma State University livestock economist Dr. Derrell Peel says the industry could be at or near the cyclical low.
Beef x Dairy cattle with strong genetics and documentation are earning prices comparable to native feeders.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Mixed product pricing and rising milk supplies suggest margin management will remain critical as 2026 unfolds.
Corn and soybean exports continue to anchor weekly inspection totals, with China maintaining a visible role, while wheat and sorghum remain more dependent on regional and seasonal demand shifts.
Rail continues to carry a larger share of the grain load, increasing sensitivity to rail capacity, labor, and pricing conditions.
Meat stocks rose seasonally but remain below last year overall, while tighter butter inventories could support dairy prices, and belly stocks warrant close watch for pork markets.
Payment totals alone do not show financial stress — production costs and net losses complete the picture.
Year-round E15 remains on the table, but procedural caution and competing regional interests pushed action into a slower, negotiated path.