Wheat
Friday’s release will be the first WASDE report in about two months, and early estimates indicate a corn surplus is still on the way.
USDA’s report shows wheat strength overall, with winter wheat yields setting records, while spring wheat and rye saw declines. Oats and barley remain constrained by record-low acreage despite stable or rising yields.
Bigger-than-expected corn and wheat stocks are bearish for prices, while soybean figures were neutral. Farmers may face additional price pressure as harvest accelerates.
Taiwan’s pledge to expand imports strengthens export prospects for U.S. row crops, livestock products, and specialty commodities, while the USDA’s broader trade push seeks to diversify farm markets globally.
Higher domestic rail tariffs and mixed capacity shifts will influence grain movement this harvest. Strong corn exports provide momentum, but logistics costs remain a critical factor.
The Final Grain Stocks Report may be the last key figures we see if a government shutdown halts future updates.
Strong corn exports are anchoring U.S. trade, while soybean sales remain steady, but shipments lag.
Waiting could risk leaving next year’s crop unprotected.
China is making strategic moves by purchasing more soybeans from Argentina and may soon follow the EU and reopen its market to Brazilian chicken exports.
Farmers should watch for soybean export rebounds with harvest, while corn and wheat shipments remain strong and sorghum demand struggles.
Corn and beef exports showed strong momentum, cotton sales surged, and soybean sales held steady, though China remains absent from the U.S. market.
Harvested acres are estimated at 90.0 million, making this year’s corn crop one of the largest since the 1930s.
China has been largely absent from U.S. markets lately, but not when it comes to cotton. It’s a buy that, traders say, isn’t surprising given China’s limitations.
Varying Results Across The State And Even The Same Field
“South central Kansas is really behind schedule...”
Today, the Breugmans grow wheat, canola, and hay and raise cattle in their century-old ranching operation in Grangeville, Idaho.
