When is it going to end? Fed might increase interest rates before making any cuts

Higher interest rates have taken a toll on Rural America. While most farmers would like them to come down, it is looking more and more unlikely.

Economist Ben Brown says they could inch up before they come back down:

“Given the inflation data that we’ve seen both at the consumer level and at the wholesale level the last couple of months, I have a really hard time seeing how the Fed can just maintain interest rates where they’re at—and certainly I wouldn’t remove the possibility of an interest rate hike here before May or June,” Brown said. “To look at last week’s inflation data, the Consumer Price Index came up month-over-month higher than even what the expectations are. That’s the third straight month that we’ve seen inflation come in hotter than expected, and the Producer Price Index was also up, signaling that wholesale inflation will eventually trickle down to consumer inflation as well, so I do think we’re seeing the prices increase faster than they expected. I think that’s got the Federal Reserve a little bit concerned.”
Ben Brown, Economist

This month’s inflation reports both came in hotter than expected, showing high prices remain sticky. Brown says he believes prices are still rising faster than expected, and that could lead the Fed to take action in the coming weeks.

Related Stories
The Fertilizer Research Act, reintroduced by Sens. Grassley, Ernst, and Baldwin, would direct the USDA to study and publish public reports on competition and pricing trends in the fertilizer market.
Allowing year-round sales of E15 nationally could deliver billions in economic gains, according to a new study from the Renewable Fuels Association and National Corn Growers Association.
U.S. aquaculture may gain competitive ground as harmful subsidies are phased out abroad, but producers should monitor shifts in import supply chains and trade enforcement closely.
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke L. Rollins today issued a new memorandum to modernize and strengthen America’s wildfire prevention and response system.
Understanding the Big, Beautiful Bill’s complex impact on SNAP benefits – that’s the topic of today’s Firm to Farm blog post by RFD-TV’s legal expert, Roger McEowen.
Rather than making “cuts” to SNAP, as has been claimed, the One Big Beautiful Bill merely modifies the program’s funding structure.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

RFD-TV farm legal and taxation expert, Roger McOwen, joins us with his perspective on what farmers can expect from the delayed aid package.
Microsoft’s partnership with the National FFA Organization is helping future ag leaders gain the tools they need to drive innovation in farming and beyond.
U.S. Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA) joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to share why Ames is uniquely positioned to support expanded USDA operations.
Iowa land values dropped 3% year-over-year. Sen. Chuck Grassley said this discomforting pattern is a harbinger of crisis for farmers, as seen in the 1980s.
Prepare for tighter cash flow, delayed capital buys, and policy-driven risk management this fall.
Jed Bower, the incoming president of the National Corn Growers Association, joined us for his sector’s perspective on the ongoing government shutdown.