China has been a big part of the market turmoil over the last several weeks.
Analyst Mike Zuzolo says many traders are operating under the belief that a deal will soon be reached. However, he is not so sure, saying that the people President Trump has chosen to negotiate trade with have their hearts in rural America.
“Almost all of them come from the same background of the middle part of the country and have seen their towns or cities hollowed out, manufacturing hollowed out, and I think the proof is in the pudding at this point of what he’s willing to do, even if it means, as he would say, short-term pain for long-term gain.”
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Wheat futures briefly hit a three-month high before retreating as the markets wait for word on whether the deal will actually happen.
According to Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins, the top three soy-crushing companies in Bangladesh agreed to buy $1 billion worth of U.S. soybeans over the next year.
A strong corn export pull is supportive of bids; soybeans need steady vessel programs or fresh sales to firm cash.
An import lag for ground beef will likely look different than last year’s egg shortage. The difference comes down to biosecurity and market flexibility.
China’s crusher losses and Brazil tensions, Gale warns, could reopen critical soybean trade channels for U.S. producers.
