Winter Wheat Check-In: Recent assessments point to positive crop trends

Looking ahead, the USDA’s National Crop Progress and Condition Reports are set to resume weekly distribution in April. Here’s a look at where winter wheat crops stand now at the beginning of 2024.

A surge of optimism surrounds this year’s winter wheat crop as recent assessments reveal some encouraging developments. Mild conditions and reduced drought coverage in U.S. winter wheat production areas contribute to the positive outlook. Notably, the Midwest sees favorable conditions, while the Northern High Plains face challenges.

In Kansas, the leading U.S. state for winter wheat production, recent rain and snow have improved conditions, with a notable 11-point enhancement in the “very poor to poor” category over the last five weeks. Simultaneously, the good to excellent rating has increased by 11 percentage points, reaching 43%.

Oklahoma also experiences improvement, particularly in the good to excellent categories, climbing from 32- to 43%.

On the other hand, the Northern High Plains area has been experiencing a uniquely warm, dry winter, and producers are witnessing some deterioration in their crop conditions.

Montana, a key player in winter wheat, records a drop of 15 percentage points in the good to excellent rating, declining from 58- to 43%. At the same time, the “very poor to poor” category surges from five percent to 21 percent.

Looking ahead, the USDA’s weekly National Crop Progress and Condition Reports are set to resume in April, providing a comprehensive update on the winter wheat landscape.


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