Ag Economy Barometer: Farmer Sentiment Ticks Up in February, But Long-Term Confidence Remains Uncertain

Purdue University’s Dr. Michael Langemeier discusses the survey’s findings in February and broader signals in the months ahead.

2026BrandGuidep44-TractorAndHayRakeInField_emiel-molenaar-j8DsBudk96c-unsplash_1920x1080.jpg

WEST LAFAYETTE, IND. (RFD NEWS) — Farmer sentiment is showing a modest rebound, according to the latest Ag Economy Barometer, though concerns about the long-term outlook remain. Dr. Michael Langemeier, senior author of the report and professor at Purdue University, joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report to break down the latest findings.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Langemeier said the slight improvement in the barometer was driven by short-term factors, including market stabilization and policy-related developments. While the rebound was welcome, he noted that confidence in the longer-term agricultural outlook continues to soften as producers face margin pressure and ongoing uncertainty.

The February survey also revisited questions about farm growth plans, a component included annually since 2016. Langemeier said responses suggest many farmers remain cautious about expansion, reflecting tighter profitability expectations and elevated input costs.

This month’s survey included a question about the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program, with respondents indicating they plan to use payments primarily to strengthen working capital, manage debt, or stabilize cash flow amid continued financial pressure.

Producers were again asked whether they believe the U.S. is headed in the “right direction” or on the “wrong track.” Langemeier said opinions remain mixed, with little change from previous readings, underscoring ongoing uncertainty in the broader economic environment.

Overall, Langemeier characterized the latest results as cautiously optimistic in the short term, but he emphasized that long-term confidence will likely depend on improvements in profitability, policy clarity, and global market stability.

Fred Seamon, executive director of agricultural research at CME, also joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to further break down the report.

In his conversation, Seamon discussed the factors behind the slight increase in sentiment and highlighted what farmers are saying about their growth plans for 2026.

He also addressed responses related to the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program and how producers plan to use those payments. He reviewed expectations for agricultural exports and shared insights on how farmers perceive the direction of the U.S. economy, noting a decline in optimism compared with previous surveys.

Related Stories
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joined RFD-TV’s Market Day Report to share insight into what’s happening on the ground and in the markets.
“USDA can no longer keep wasting its time and personnel to deploy Commissioner Miller’s infamous traps, which USDA has deployed, tested, and has proven ineffective.”
Expect choppier basis and wider bids — hedge earlier, keep logistics flexible, and watch Argentina and India headlines for near-term opportunities.
Even in this strong market, some beef producers are leaving money on the table by not following proven marketing practices.
New U.S. fees on Chinese-owned and built ships took effect overnight, marking the latest escalation in maritime trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.
President Trump is expected to press Argentina to take a tougher stance on China in exchange for political and economic support.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Researchers at the Boyce Thompson Institute have constructed the perfect watermelon—returning “lost” genes from the domesticated fruit’s wild relatives that improve both taste and resilience during the growing process.
Researchers at Florida Atlantic University’s Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institute found human sewage, not fertilizer, is mainly responsible for dangerous nitrogen levels in Florida’s Indian River Lagoon.
Happy Independence Day from all of us at RFD-TV! We pulled together a playlist of some of our favorite country songs to play this Fourth of July!
A new study identified compounds within a “failed” tuberculosis treatment that effectively fight some herbicide-resistant “superweeds” in Australia. Researchers say their findings could be a “game-changer for the agriculture sector.”
Dennis Quaid has been very busy lately — whether he is entertaining us on-screen in an array of iconic roles or serenading us on-stage as the frontman of Dennis Quaid & The Sharks — we have a lot to ask the acclaimed actor & singer-songwriter when he visits RFD-TV’s TalkShopLive!
When discussing pollinators, most minds jump to bumblebees and butterflies. According to two new studies released in the United Kingdom, conservationists may need to adjust focus to include a very important nighttime pollinator: moths.