Fertilizer will soon be in high demand. Most U.S. potash supplies come from Canada, but that could change depending on how future trade talks unfold.
“As of right now, we believe that potash is under the 0% tariff rate because it is considered a critical mineral, because it falls underneath our trade agreements for North America. If that’s the case, there’s no reason for our supply routes to change. Yes, Russia will remain number two, but it is a distant number two. Canada will continue to be the major player. Now, if tensions with Canada were to ramp up again and we start seeing more tariff rates on their potash, that is going to change things. We are going to see ourselves try to call more product from places like Russia,” said StoneX’s Josh Linville.
Fertilizer prices are tracking higher recently. Analysts with DTN found last week’s prices for UAN32 gained 10 percent. Potash gained five percent, but is still almost 10 percent off last year’s levels.
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ock NH3 early, track China’s Oct. 15 call and any U.S. Russia-UAN action, stay nimble on urea, and budget cautiously for high-priced phosphate.
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