Cash-Futures Divide Complicates Risk Management For Cattle Feeders

Wide gaps between cash cattle and futures prices are making it harder for feeders to hedge risk and protect margins.

CRYSTAL_BLIN_07_14_20_USA_IA_JJB_CATTLE_018.jpg

FarmHER Crystal Blin

Photo by Marji Guyler-Alaniz / FarmHER Inc.

AMARILLO, Texas (RFD News) — A widening gap between cash cattle prices and futures is making risk management more difficult for feedlots already operating in a volatile market. Sidney Abbott of OT Feed Yard and Research Center says cash and futures have been sending different signals for weeks.

Abbott says spreads near $15 per hundredweight have appeared between cash cattle and nearby futures. She also says recent market declines of roughly $30 per hundredweight can translate into about $600 to $800 per head in value.

That creates added risk for feeders trying to hedge cattle purchases and protect margins. A futures market moving sharply below cash can complicate breakeven calculations and marketing decisions.

Abbott says futures have reacted heavily to headlines involving packing capacity and beef imports, while physical cattle supplies remain tight. She expects the gap between futures and cash to narrow.

For cattle feeders, the key issue is managing price exposure when market signals diverge, and volatility remains elevated.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Wide cash-futures spreads increase hedging risk and make feeder cattle marketing decisions more difficult.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Texas has lifted movement restrictions in five counties after officials determined wild screwworm populations had been eliminated in those areas.
USDA is expanding support for heifer retention, disaster recovery and regional processing as it looks to encourage long-term cattle expansion.
Strong corn shipments are supporting export demand while soybean and wheat inspections continue to trail last year’s pace.
The decisions remove about 1.76 billion Renewable Identification Numbers, or RINs, from 2025 compliance obligations.
Protein demand is creating new markets for U.S. dairy products as consumers shift toward yogurt, cottage cheese and whey.
Rising transportation costs are increasing the price of U.S. corn and soybeans delivered to Japan, adding pressure to export competitiveness.