Corn Inspections Surge Year-to-Date While Soybeans Exports Trail Significantly

Export strength is concentrated in corn and wheat, while soybeans and sorghum lag, keeping basis and logistics dynamics highly commodity-specific into late fall.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. grain export inspections picked up momentum in the latest reporting week, with corn exports leading the board and wheat and soybeans showing steady movement.

According to the USDA’s Federal Grain Inspection Service, total inspected volumes reached 2.84 million metric tons for the week ending November 6, slightly below the previous week but above the same week a year ago. Corn topped all commodities at 1.42 million metric tons, aided by strong movement through the Gulf and Interior regions as global buyers continue to secure fall-harvest supplies.

Export inspections show a mixed year-to-date picture — overall volumes are up modestly while commodity trends diverge. Through November 6, total grain inspections are running about 1.5 percent above last year, reflecting firmer wheat and corn movement offset by notably weaker soybeans and sorghum.

Corn is the clear standout, running about 66 percent ahead of last year as global buyers rebuild pipeline coverage after a slow 2024. Wheat continues to outperform, up about 19 percent year-over-year on steady West Coast loadings and improved competitiveness. Barley is modestly higher, up about five percent.

On the downside, soybeans remain well behind last season, down about 42 percent, as Brazil’s large crop and aggressive offers continue to dominate early-season trade. China has agreed to purchase around 12 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans before the year is up. Then they have committed to buy another 25 million metric tons each year for the next three years.

“We’ve been operating without the government here for a while,” said economist Dewey Strickler with Ag Watch Market Advisors. “I think what it is, a lot of it has just been optimism about, you know, China purchasing soybeans and so forth. They may purchase some soybeans, but I have an idea -- you know, we’re going to run into some problems because of the fact that in their contract or whatever agreement they have -- what we need to see are actual shipments. Purchases are fine, but purchases are just a burden in the bush. We need to see a bird in the hand, which are actual shipments.”

Sorghum exports are also under pressure — about 63 percent lower than a year ago — reflecting tighter U.S. supplies and shifting demand. The weekly tally still shows corn leading current shipments, but the YTD story centers on the corn/wheat strength versus soybean/sorghum softness.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Export strength is concentrated in corn and wheat, while soybeans and sorghum lag, keeping basis and logistics dynamics highly commodity-specific into late fall.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Expert
Related Stories
Richard Gupton of the Agricultural Retailers Association discusses the EPA’s new decision on over-the-top Dicamba and what it means for growers this year.
Mike Spier, president and CEO of U.S. Wheat Associates, discusses the new U.S.-Bangladesh trade agreement and its potential benefits for U.S. wheat growers.
Gretchen Kuck of the National Corn Growers Association joined us to discuss the Ag Coalition for USMCA’s report findings and expectations ahead of the upcoming USMCA review.
Strong corn exports offer support, while soybeans and wheat remain weighed down by ample global supplies, according to the USDA’s latest WASDE report for February.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Higher yields are cushioning lower acreage, but reduced production could support firmer potato prices into 2026.
Producers across the country balanced winter weather disruptions, shifting export demand, and tightening margins as year-end decisions come into focus.
Reviewing risk management now can help dairy and livestock producers enter 2026 with clearer margins and fewer surprises.
Stronger rail movement and lower fuel prices are easing logistics, even as export pace and river conditions remain uneven.
Small, locally focused wineries are finding resilience through direct sales and regional loyalty rather than scale alone.
Tight feeder supplies and lower placements indicate continued support for the cattle market, with regional impacts heightened in Texas by reduced feeder imports.