Corn Inspections Surge Year-to-Date While Soybeans Exports Trail Significantly

Export strength is concentrated in corn and wheat, while soybeans and sorghum lag, keeping basis and logistics dynamics highly commodity-specific into late fall.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. grain export inspections picked up momentum in the latest reporting week, with corn exports leading the board and wheat and soybeans showing steady movement.

According to the USDA’s Federal Grain Inspection Service, total inspected volumes reached 2.84 million metric tons for the week ending November 6, slightly below the previous week but above the same week a year ago. Corn topped all commodities at 1.42 million metric tons, aided by strong movement through the Gulf and Interior regions as global buyers continue to secure fall-harvest supplies.

Export inspections show a mixed year-to-date picture — overall volumes are up modestly while commodity trends diverge. Through November 6, total grain inspections are running about 1.5 percent above last year, reflecting firmer wheat and corn movement offset by notably weaker soybeans and sorghum.

Corn is the clear standout, running about 66 percent ahead of last year as global buyers rebuild pipeline coverage after a slow 2024. Wheat continues to outperform, up about 19 percent year-over-year on steady West Coast loadings and improved competitiveness. Barley is modestly higher, up about five percent.

On the downside, soybeans remain well behind last season, down about 42 percent, as Brazil’s large crop and aggressive offers continue to dominate early-season trade. China has agreed to purchase around 12 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans before the year is up. Then they have committed to buy another 25 million metric tons each year for the next three years.

“We’ve been operating without the government here for a while,” said economist Dewey Strickler with Ag Watch Market Advisors. “I think what it is, a lot of it has just been optimism about, you know, China purchasing soybeans and so forth. They may purchase some soybeans, but I have an idea -- you know, we’re going to run into some problems because of the fact that in their contract or whatever agreement they have -- what we need to see are actual shipments. Purchases are fine, but purchases are just a burden in the bush. We need to see a bird in the hand, which are actual shipments.”

Sorghum exports are also under pressure — about 63 percent lower than a year ago — reflecting tighter U.S. supplies and shifting demand. The weekly tally still shows corn leading current shipments, but the YTD story centers on the corn/wheat strength versus soybean/sorghum softness.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Export strength is concentrated in corn and wheat, while soybeans and sorghum lag, keeping basis and logistics dynamics highly commodity-specific into late fall.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Expert
Related Stories
Tom McComas became involved with toy trains by accident and with reluctance. Now, he hosts “I Love Toy Trains,” where he invites viewers to enter the delightful and charming world of toy trains.
The success of American agriculture relies upon a robust transportation system.
“Ethanol is so important to farmers, corn farmers, but all farmers, because a rising tide lifts all ships.”

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The new antitrust agreement between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) aims to enforce antitrust laws and monitor market activity across the ag sector.
The impacts of the government shutdown have reached commodity growers with crops to move, ag economists monitoring the harvest without key data reporting, and meat producers in need of new export markets.
In a statement provided to RFD-TV News, a USDA spokesperson reiterated President Trump and the USDA’s commitment to farmers in difficult economic times.
Industry leaders say $11 billion in new investments could turn the tide as dairy producers face shrinking margins and growing uncertainty.
Export Inspections In Bushels Show Mixed Momentum Patterns
Expect firmer shop prices, leaner inventories, and selective hiring in ag-adjacent businesses — plan parts, service, and financing needs earlier.