KC Fed: Livestock Strength Offsets Continued Weakness Across Crop Sector

Strong cattle markets are masking ongoing financial stress across crop agriculture.

A Scottish Highland Cow standing in front of a fall vista in Vermont.

Greenfield Highland Beef, FarmHER Janet Seward (FarmHER Season 5, Ep. 23)

Photo by Marji Guyler-Alaniz/FarmHER, Inc.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farm income conditions remained uneven through 2025 as strong livestock markets supported revenues while crop producers continued facing lower prices and tightening margins, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s Fourth Quarter Agricultural Bulletin (PDF Version).

Average agricultural commodity prices finished 2025 about 5 percent below levels at the start of the year despite strong cattle markets. Higher cattle prices alone contributed roughly three percentage points to overall agricultural price support, but declines in corn, milk, broilers, and eggs pulled the broader index lower. Crop revenues declined for a third consecutive year as large production weighed on prices across grains and oilseeds.

The livestock sector provided the primary financial offset. Higher cattle sales and modest gains in hog, turkey, and egg receipts lifted overall farm income nearly 20 percent above 2024 levels. Domestic demand for agricultural products remained solid, although exports softened due largely to weaker soybean shipments.

Credit conditions gradually weakened during the year, but broader financial stress remained limited. Farm debt levels held steady, loan delinquency rates changed little, and farmland values stayed resilient, helping stabilize balance sheets despite weaker profitability for crop producers.

Looking ahead, Federal Reserve analysts indicate that subdued crop profitability could continue to pressure credit conditions if commodity prices fail to recover, even as livestock markets remain comparatively strong.

Related Stories
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney discusses what the exemptions could mean for U.S. agriculture and global trade.
Renewable Fuels Association CEO Geoff Cooper discusses record public support for year-round E15, congressional legislation, the Renewable Fuel Standard, 45Z guidance, and ethanol trade with Brazil.
The Public Lands Council says the decision restores grazing access while protecting special areas.
Chip Nellinger says trade developments, growing beef supplies and investor activity are all contributing to the recent pullback in cattle prices.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

For producers who depend on overseas markets, the lack of progress leaves uncertainty over future trade policies.
Agragene is developing a precision sterile insect system as part of USDA’s New World Screwworm Grand Challenge.
Growing energy and water demand from data centers could affect utility costs for poultry operations.
The proposal maintains key cattle industry priorities but omits several livestock provisions included in the House version.
Ethanol output dropped to its lowest level since early May as inventories continued to build and exports weakened.
Farm equipment sales remain under pressure as tractor purchases decline. Paul Neiffer urges farmers to SDRP eligibility rules allowing machinery gains to qualify as farm income.