Corn vs. Soy: Producers Weigh Inputs and Profit Potential for 2026 Crop Budgets

University of Illinois Ag Economist Gary Schnitker says early projections indicate soybeans will be more profitable than corn in 2026.

DEWEY, Ill. (RFD-TV)Harvest is in full swing, and we are looking at what next year holds for crop budgets, including fertilizer. One agricultural economist with the University of Illinois says prices could be coming down, depending on your crop.

“Looking at crop budgets for 2026 is where we’re at; we’re building in higher fertilizer costs for corn, and that’s being led by both anhydrous ammonia or nitrogen and DAP,” said Gary Schnitker. “Currently, prices are higher for those than they were at this time last year, so we built in a higher projection. Soybean costs are a little bit lower, primarily because, surprisingly, potash isn’t higher, and the tariff situation, even though we rely heavily on Canada, we seem to have an exemption now, so that’s going to flow okay, I suppose.”

Schnitker adds that early projections indicate soybeans will be more profitable than corn in 2026.

“Higher cost for corn is going to make corn relatively less profitable, and soybeans are impacting that relationship,” Schnitker continued. “We’ll see where farmers make their decisions as far as profitability, but right now, we’re predicting soybeans to be more profitable than corn. So, again, that’s been the case for a while, and you’re beginning to think, well, we do a lot of 50-50 corn and soybeans in this state. Maybe we’re going to have to shade more to soybeans, but that doesn’t look the best either if we consider that China hasn’t bought any of our soybeans, so we’ll see where all that goes.”

The Trump Administration is speaking out. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says an announcement is slated for Tuesday, promising to assist American soybean growers.

Related Stories
While access to China remains uncertain, U.S. beef exporters are finding resilience and opportunity in other global markets, which could help maintain industry value and expand export opportunities.
American Farmland Trust shares guidance, research, and policy solutions to help farmers navigate the growing threat of PFAS, or “forever chemicals,” contaminating U.S. farmland.
ASFMRA’s Dennis Reyman discusses farmer sentiment, land values, and how global and financial pressures are shaping decision-making in the ag land market.
Richard Gupton of the Agricultural Retailers Association discusses the EPA’s new decision on over-the-top Dicamba and what it means for growers this year.
Mike Spier, president and CEO of U.S. Wheat Associates, discusses the new U.S.-Bangladesh trade agreement and its potential benefits for U.S. wheat growers.
Gretchen Kuck of the National Corn Growers Association joined us to discuss the Ag Coalition for USMCA’s report findings and expectations ahead of the upcoming USMCA review.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

William Lee Golden joined us to talk about his farming roots, his storied career with the Oak Ridge Boys, and how his new book and music continue to reflect the values that have guided him throughout his life and career.
Glyphosate and phosphorus are deemed critical to U.S. national defense, ensuring farmers’ access while signaling a shift toward regenerative agriculture. RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney shares insight on the Trump Administration’s move and what it could mean for U.S. farmers moving forward.
Claire Woeppel, Central Region Vice President with the National FFA Organization, joined us to discuss Alumni Day, the lasting impact of FFA supporters, and why honoring that legacy matters during National FFA Week.
UNL Extension’s Troy Walz discusses the Nebraska Ranch Practicum, where sessions are held, how producers can get involved, and what ranchers can gain from participating in the program.
The Ranger Road Fire in the Oklahoma Panhandle is now 65% contained after burning nearly 300,000 acres over the past week. Kevin Charleston of Specialty Risk Insurance Agency discusses wildfire recovery, livestock insurance considerations, and the importance of preparedness for producers across the Southern Plains.
Ag leaders say President Donald Trump’s State of the Union is unlikely to spark major agriculture headlines, but ongoing tariff uncertainty and trade policy remain key concerns, as does the debate around glyphosate and the status of the next Farm Bill.