WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farm price relationships weakened further at the end of 2025 as prices received by producers declined while costs continued to climb, tightening margins across much of agriculture. USDA’s December Agricultural Prices report (PDF Version) shows broad pressure on livestock values alongside modest relief in select crop markets.
The December Prices Received Index fell 3.1 percent from November and 4.6 percent from a year earlier. Crop prices were mixed, with the Crop Production Index down 2.4 percent month to month but still 3.4 percent above December 2024. Livestock prices drove most of the decline, with the Livestock Production Index dropping 5.7 percent from November and 13 percent from a year ago. Lower prices for cattle, milk, eggs, and lettuce outweighed gains in broilers, corn, grapes, and calves.
At the same time, input costs continued to rise. The Prices Paid Index increased 0.3 percent from November and stood 8.5 percent higher than a year earlier. Higher costs for feeder cattle, feeder pigs, nitrogen, and concentrates offset lower fuel, feed, and forage prices.
The ratio of prices received to prices paid slipped to 79, underscoring ongoing margin stress.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Falling livestock prices combined with higher input costs continue to squeeze farm profitability heading into 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
A rescheduled WASDE, China’s soybean squeeze, barge bottlenecks, and premium beef demand all collide this week — with cash decisions, basis, and risk plans on the line.
November 03, 2025 09:23 AM
·
China’s grain expansion model may be hitting its limit. Lower prices, high rents, and policy fatigue threaten future output — with ripple effects across global feed and oilseed markets.
November 02, 2025 05:06 AM
·
High milk production and soft retail demand are squeezing prices and margins — making careful feed and risk management essential through year-end.
November 01, 2025 06:54 AM
·
Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.
October 31, 2025 01:17 PM
·
Texas A&M livestock economist Dr. David Anderson joins Tony St. James to discuss the geopolitical tensions and U.S.-Mexico border closure that are leading to sharp swings in the cattle market.
October 31, 2025 12:50 PM
·
Caleb Ragland, president of the American Soybean Association (ASA), shares his reaction to news of soybean sales to China, which is considered both “welcome news” and a return to near-normal trade relations.
October 31, 2025 12:26 PM
·
