El Niño Could Improve Southern Plains Forage Outlook

More frequent precipitation could improve winter wheat grazing and pasture conditions for cattle producers.

LUBBOCK, Texas (RFD-TV) — A developing El Niño pattern could bring more frequent precipitation to the southern and central Plains, improving forage prospects for cattle producers after prolonged drought.

Matt Makins of Makins Weather says the atmospheric pattern is beginning to look more like El Niño, with Pacific storm systems increasingly moving toward California, the Southwest, Texas, Oklahoma, New Mexico and Kansas.

He says the strongest regional impacts typically develop from November through April rather than immediately after El Niño forms. Recent rainfall across parts of the southern Plains may be an early sign of that transition.

Makins says a strong El Niño could substantially reduce drought across Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and eastern New Mexico if precipitation reaches the upper end of historical ranges over the next six to nine months.

Better moisture could improve winter wheat grazing, pasture growth and spring forage availability. Makins says those conditions could give cattle producers more flexibility to retain females or cautiously begin rebuilding herds.

Farm-Level Takeaway: More frequent Southern Plains precipitation could improve wheat pasture and forage availability for cattle producers into 2027.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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